In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions & Bonuses ⬇️

Sportsbook Offers & Bonuses- Click Here

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the MLB, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 1-0 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 9-2

Over/Under Predictions: 5-6

Run Line Predictions: 7-4

Featured Matchup: 1-0

As of August 8, 2024, we have shut down our website and will begin producing all content solely on Beehiiv!

As a result, we will be implementing a tiered subscription, which means only Premium subscribers will receive our NFL predictions on Thursdays and Sundays.

Free subscriber- Receive newsletter, model predictions, and analysis Monday-Wednesday

Paid subscriber ($10/month or $100/year)- Receive newsletter, model predictions, and analysis 7 days of the week

Our NFL best bets went 22-18-2 last season with an ROI of 5.40%. Click the button below to upgrade your subscription today and be on the list to receive those predictions this season! ⬇️

13 MLB games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 13 matchups can be found below.

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

Model Predicts- Orioles ML, OVER 9, Orioles -1.5

The Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles will continue their three-game series on Tuesday, with the first pitch for Game 2 scheduled to take place at 6:35 PM Eastern.

Baltimore took care of business in Game 1 as a massive favorite, taking down Chicago by a score of 13-3. That win was the second in a row for this Orioles squad, while the loss extended the White Sox losing streak to a lengthy 11 games.

Baltimore didn’t face much resistance after the first inning on Monday, and our model doesn’t project today’s matchup to be difficult for the Orioles either. Let’s dive into why that is.

Chicago White Sox

• Enter today on 11-game losing streak

  • Four losses to Tigers, three losses to Rangers, three losses to Mets, and one loss to Orioles

  • Own -42 run differential in that span

• Sub-par pitching staff has played large role in recent struggles

  • Rank 29th in ERA (5.97), 21st in xFIP (4.33), and 16th in HR/9 innings (1.29)

  • 67 runs allowed is second-most in MLB since August 23rd. 14 home runs ranks in bottom 10

• Starting pitcher- Nick Nastrini

  • Due for slight positive regression, but still expected to struggle- 7.04 ERA vs 6.59 xERA

  • Poor command and high rate of contact- 18.1% Walk rate and 15.3% Strikeout rate

Baltimore Orioles

• Beat Chicago in dominant fashion yesterday

  • Down 2-1 after first inning, but won 13-3

  • Recorded 18 hits and seven walks in the game

• Have now won three of last four games thanks to offense

  • Own 154 wRC+, .355 BABIP, and .892 OPS in last four games

  • Batting .302 as a team- has led to 7.25 runs per game and +15 run differential in that time

• Starting pitcher- Cade Povich

  • Due for positive regression- 6.58 ERA vs 4.45 xERA

  • Also struggles with command and strikeouts- 10.6% Walk rate and 15.1% Strikeout rate

What’s the Play?

Game 1 of this series saw a total of 16 runs scored. It’s unlikely we see a total that high on back-to-back days, but we do agree with our model that the White Sox and Orioles can combine for at least 10 runs tonight and hit the over.

Nastrini and Povich are both due for some positive regression, but their flaws on the mound make that very difficult. Both pitchers have struggled with their command this season, posting a Walk rate higher than 10.0%, and neither one has been able to strikeout opposing hitters.

Opposing hitters are often getting on base via the walk when either guy is on the mound, and the abundance of contact is not good contact, as both Nastrini and Povich own a Barrel rate higher than 10.0% and Ground Ball rate lower than 36.5%.

The Orioles should have no problems piling runs on today, and even though the White Sox are one of the worst offensive teams in the MLB, we agree with our model’s projection that scoring three runs with Povich on the mound is in the realm of possibility. As a result, we’ll back the over here.

The Play: Over 9 (+100)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Minnesota Twins- 75-62 overall this season, 36-32 as the away team

• Philadelphia Phillies- 81-56 overall this season, 34-31 as the away team, 7-3 in last ten games

• Milwaukee Brewers- 81-57 overall this season, 41-25 as the home team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Arizona Diamondbacks- Over is 78-54-6 this season, highest win percentage in MLB (59.1%)

• Texas Rangers- Under is 72-61-5 this season, 43-24-2 as the home team

Run Line Trends ➕➖

• Oakland Athletics- Run line is 76-62 this season, 32-22 as a home underdog

💪 Yu Darvish set to return to mound on Wednesday. San Diego Padres manager Mike Shildt announced that Yu Darvish will return to the mound on Wednesday against the Detroit Tigers after being sidelined since May 29 due to injuries and personal matters. Darvish, who recently completed his rehab for an elbow issue, brings a 3.20 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings this season. His return strengthens the Padres' rotation as they push for a playoff spot, as team sits in first place in the NL Wild Card race with a 79-61 record.

⚾️ Dodgers dominate Diamondbacks on Monday to win series. Freddie Freeman hit two home runs with five RBIs, and Shohei Ohtani stole three bases as the Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 11-6, taking three of four games in their series. The Dodgers, now with a six-game lead in the NL West, have won 17 of their last 23 games, while Arizona and San Diego are battling for second place. The Diamondbacks struggled with pitching, giving up 32 runs in the series, as Eduardo Rodriguez endured a tough outing, and their homestand ended with a disappointing 2-5 record.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- The Colorado Buffaloes earned their first win of the season on Thursday night. When was the last time Colorado finished a season above .500, not including the shortened 2020 season?

Question #2- Josh Johnson is a quarterback that has bounced all over the NFL during his career. How many teams has Johnson played on in his career?

Question #3- Legendary NCAA basketball head coach Mike Krzyzewski is mostly known for his time with the Duke Blue Devils, but where did Krzyzewski coach before Duke?

Anyone know what has happened on September 3rd throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On September 3rd…

1974- Basketball Hall of Famer Oscar Robertson retires from the NBA. Robertson is widely regarded as one of the most well-rounded players to ever pick up a basketball, as evidenced by his 181 career triple-doubles. Robertson would leave the NBA with 26,710 points, 7,804 rebounds, and 9,887 assists, and was inducted into the Hall of Fame six years after his retirement in 1980.

1995- The Jacksonville Jaguars make their NFL debut against the Houston Oilers. Jacksonville, led by quarterback Steve Beuerlein, tallied just 146 total yards of offense in the game, resulting in just 2.4 yards per play. The nonexistent offense led to just three total points, foreshadowing what would later turn into a 4-12 season.

2001- St. Louis Cardinals rookie Bud Smith throws a no-hitter in a 4-0 win over the San Diego Padres. The no-no came in what was just Smith’s 11th career start, a game in which he threw 134 pitches, striking out seven opposing hitters and walking four. Despite the hot start to his career, Smith would be traded in 2002 to the Philadelphia Phillies and eventually signed with the Minnesota Twins in 2004, but failed to make another start in the big leagues afterwards.

1. 2016

2. 14

3. Army West Point