Back Calgary on the Road

In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions ⬇️ 

NCAAF Model Predictions- End of Newsletter

NCAAB Model Predictions- Begin 11/6/24

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the NFL, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 1-0 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 1-0

Over/Under Predictions: 1-0

Spread Predictions: 1-0

Featured Matchup: 1-0

There are hundreds of sports betting websites in today’s ecosystem that charge large sums of money for their insight, with prices ranging from $29.99/month to nearly $200/month!

However, SportSense Premium allows you to receive our newsletter, model predictions, and analysis every day of the week for just $10/month, making it by far the best bang for your buck!

Becoming a more consistent winner has never been easier, and you won’t receive our prices or high-quality analysis anywhere else. Click the button below to upgrade your subscription today and be on the list to receive our newsletter every day ⬇️

11 NHL games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 11 matchups can be found below.

Calgary Flames @ Montreal Canadiens

Model Predicts- Flames ML, UNDER 6.5, Canadiens +1.5

The Calgary Flames will begin a three-game road trip on Tuesday, with the first stop coming in Montreal, Quebec to battle the Canadiens.

Calgary enters this matchup having experienced mixed results in November, posting a 1-1 record through two games. Meanwhile, Montreal has not found the win column in quite some time, losing three consecutive games to drop the Canadiens’ record to 4-7-1 for the season.

Sportsbooks make the Flames a road favorite to begin their road trip, and our model is in line with that sentiment. Let’s dive into why that is.

Calgary Flames

• Have split both games in November thus far

  • Win over Devils, loss to Oilers

  • Own +1 goal differential in that span

• Defense has been great over last two games despite one loss

  • Goals against per 60 minutes (GA/60) in 5-on-5 situations sits at 1.25- ranks 4th in NHL since November 1st

  • Allowing little pressure on net- 7.52 High-Danger Scoring Chances Against per 60 minutes (HDCA/60) in 5-on-5 is 2nd in NHL

• Expected goalie- Dustin Wolf

  • Owns .945 Save % in 5-on-5 situations (9th in NHL). Ranks 40th in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with -0.9

Montreal Canadiens

• Enter today on three-game losing streak

  • Losses to Kraken, Capitals, and Penguins

  • Own -11 goal differential in that span

• Poor defense has been the reason for losing skid

  • GA/60 in 5-on-5 situation sits at 4.54 across last three games- ranks 32nd in NHL

  • Have surrendered 17 goals to opponents, but have scored just six of their own

• Expected goalie- Sam Montembeault

  • Owns .895 Save % in 5-on-5. Ranks 21st in GSAx (+1.3)

What’s the Play?

Calgary and Montreal each failed to find the win column their last time on the ice, but we agree with our model that Calgary is the team to back in this spot.

As previously mentioned, Montreal’s defense has collapsed during their three-game losing streak, but poor play on the defensive end of the ice is nothing new for the Canadiens. Per Natural Stat Trick, Montreal ranks 32nd in the NHL in GA/60 in 5-on-5 with 3.96, which sits 0.46 goals higher than any other team. A large reason for that is the 15.07 High-Danger Scoring Chances Montreal surrenders per 60 minutes in 5-on-5, showing Montreal is one of the weakest defenses inside the blue line.

Meanwhile, Calgary is on the opposite end the spectrum, ranking in the top-nine of the NHL in GA/60 and HDCA/60 in 5-on-5. The Flames are far better defensively, and we expect that to carry them to victory here.

The Play: Flames ML (-125)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Winnipeg Jets- 11-1-0 overall this season, 5-1-0 as the home team

• Vancouver Canucks- 5-2-3 overall this season, 4-1-0 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Calgary Flames- Under is 7-4-1 this season with average total of 6.08

• Winnipeg Jets- Over is 8-3-1 this season with average total of 7.42

Puck Line Trends ➕➖

• St. Louis Blues- Puck line is 8-4 this season

• Anaheim Ducks- Puck line is 7-4 this season

🗓 Nichushkin set to return from six-month ban on November 15th. Colorado Avalanche forward Valeri Nichushkin is set to make his season debut on November 15 against the Washington Capitals after completing a six-month suspension for a failed drug test. He was cleared to practice by the NHL/NHLPA player assistance program, following time away last season and reentry into the program during the playoffs. Nichushkin, a key player for the Avalanche, has scored 100 points in his last 107 games and re-signed with Colorado on an eight-year, $49 million contract after their 2022 Stanley Cup win.

😈 Devils beat Oilers behind shutout from Jake Allen. Jake Allen stopped 31 shots for his second shutout this season, leading the New Jersey Devils to a 3-0 win over the Edmonton Oilers and concluding their Western Canadian trip on a high note. Jesper Bratt contributed a goal and an assist, as the Devils improved their record to 8-5-2, winning three of their last four games. Despite the Oilers' recent two-game win streak, they struggled offensively, with Leon Draisaitl held scoreless after his impressive six-point performance across his previous two games.

Today’s Top Sportsbook/DFS Offers🎰

Sportsbooks and Daily Fantasy sites are providing new users with a plethora of offers and bonuses when they sign up, and our staff has provided it’s top three for November 5, 2024!

To claim an offer, click the “Open Account” button on the corresponding banner, complete the sign up process, make a deposit, and start betting!

Sleeper- Receive a 100% deposit match on your first deposit (up to $100)!

Caesars- Get up to $1,000 in bonus bets if your first bet loses!

Rebet- Receive a 100% deposit match on your first deposit (up to $100)!

To see all sportsbooks and offers available in your area, click HERE

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- 33 wide receivers were selected in the 2006 NFL Draft. What Ohio State wide receiver was the first one off the board, going 25th overall to the Pittsburgh Steelers?

Question #2- Former NFL quarterback Jay Cutler played for three teams in his career. Two of those teams were the Chicago Bears and Miami Dolphins, but what team was the third?

Question #3- David Freese led what what National League team to a World Series victory over the Texas Rangers in 2011?

Anyone know what has happened on November 5th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On November 5th…

1996- New York Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter wins the American League Rookie of the Year award. Jeter was given the award following a dominant rookie season, on in which he hit .314 with 10 home runs, 78 RBIs, and 104 runs scored across 157 games. Jeter also won the award by unanimous vote, the first time since 1993 a player was a unanimous winner.

2022- Washington Capitals star Alex Ovechkin scores his 787th career goal. Ovechkin reached the milestone in a 3-2 loss to the Arizona Coyotes, but it enabled Ovechkin to surpass Gordie Howe for the NHL all-time record for most goals scored for a single team. Ovechkin has now scored 860 goals in his career, which ranks second in NHL history behind Wayne Gretzky.

2022- The Houston Astros defeat the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 6 of the World Series. Houston won the game by a score of 4-2 at its home stadium, Minute Maid Park, giving the Astros their fourth win of the series. It was the second World Series title for the Astros in their franchise history, and rookie shortstop Jeremey Peña was named World Series MVP.

1. Santonio Holmes

2. Denver Broncos

3. St. Louis Cardinals

NCAAF Model Predictions🏈