In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter sponsored by SportSense Premium…

There were plenty of predictions to go around yesterday across the NFL, NBA and NHL, with our model focusing in on three of those predictions in our Featured Matchups. Those predictions went 3-0 overall, and you can see how each of the models performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 10-2

Over/Under Predictions: 6-5-1

Spread Predictions: 7-5

Featured Matchup: 1-0

Money Line Predictions: 3-2

Over/Under Predictions: 2-3

Spread Predictions: 3-2

Featured Matchup: 1-0

Money Line Predictions: 1-1

Over/Under Predictions: 1-1

Puck Line Predictions: 0-2

Featured Matchup: 1-0

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The ninth edition of Monday Night Football is set to take place today, with the Chargers taking on the Jets at MetLife Stadium. Our model’s predictions for tonight’s matchup can be found below.

Los Angeles Chargers @ New York Jets

Model Predicts- Jets ML, UNDER 39.5, Jets +3.5

The Los Angeles Chargers will make the cross-country journey this week to take on the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium.

L.A. enters this Week 9 matchup with a 3-4 record, most recently defeating the Chicago Bears on Sunday Night Football a week ago. Meanwhile, New York owns a 4-3 record after Zach Wilson has orchestrated three consecutive victories.

The Jets look like they may be coming into their own, and our model gives them the tiniest of edges for tonight’s matchup. Let’s take a look at why our model is making that prediction.

Los Angeles Chargers

• Bounce back win last week against Chicago

  • Won 30-13. Recorded 352 yards of offense

  • Win followed two consecutive losses to Cowboys and Chiefs

• Defense has improved, but still struggles with pass

  • Rank 29th in EPA/dropback, 31st in pass rush win rate

  • Allow 297.4 pass yards per game- 34 more yards than any other team this season

• Offense is healthy, three starters on defense are questionable

  • Sebastian Joseph-Day, Eric Kendricks, Kenneth Murray Jr.

New York Jets

• Have won three straight games, but have all been relatively close

  • +19 point differential in last three wins

  • Beat Giants by three last week, but needed miracle field goal despite Giants recording -9 pass yards and using 3rd string QB

• Defense has been the anchor for entire season

  • Rank 8th in opponent EPA/play, 6th in opponent success rate

  • Holding opponents to 4.3 yards per play over last three games- 1st in NFL

What’s the Play?

Our model is making this game a coin flip in terms of which team wins outright, but getting 3.5 points for a home underdog is an opportunity we can’t pass up.

The Chargers have played awful football, and all three wins have comes against bad teams, the Bears, Raiders, and the Vikings when they were 0-2. The four losses haven’t come against slouches, but the Chargers’ bottom-ranked defense is oftentimes too much for the offense to overcome.

Zach Wilson is no stud, but he gets an easy matchup this week and his defense always keeps the Jets in the game. We’ll back the Jets on the spread here.

The Play: Jets +3.5 (-115)

Money Line Trends 💰

• New York Jets- 4-3 overall this season, 2-2 as a home underdog

• Los Angeles Chargers- 3-4 overall this season, 1-2 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Los Angeles Chargers- Under is 5-2 this season with average total of 48.86 points

Spread Trends ➕➖

• New York Jets- 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, 3-1 ATS as a home underdog

🤯 C.J. Stroud sets NFL record in win over Bucs. C.J. Stroud's strung together one of the best performances ever for a rookie on Sunday throwing for 470 yards and five touchdowns. The performance followed one of Stroud’s worst outings last week, showing the young QB has what it takes to play in the NFL for years to come. His fifth touchdown pass, a game-winning 15-yard throw to Tank Dell in the final seconds, solidified his place in the NFL record books, joining the likes of Matthew Stafford and rarefied company with over 400 passing yards and five touchdowns in a single game without any interceptions.

🤕 Jones feared to have significant knee injury. The New York Giants' challenging season took a turn for the worst, as quarterback Daniel Jones is believed to have suffered a significant knee injury. Head coach Brian Daboll disclosed that Jones had immediate X-rays, with further tests scheduled for Monday. After briefly returning to the game, Jones injured his right knee again on the next play, and despite walking without assistance after the game, concerns remain about the extent of his injury.

This week starts out with a bang in the NBA, with 12 games scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 12 matchups can be found below.

Los Angeles Clippers @ New York Knicks

Model Predicts- Knicks ML, UNDER 227, Knicks +2

The Los Angeles Clippers will continue their four-game road trip on Monday, making a stop in the Big Apple to take on the Knicks.

Los Angeles enters tonight’s battle with plenty of rest, last suiting up on Wednesday against the Lakers. L.A. also has a new look, as James Harden is set to make his first appearance with the team following his departure from Philadelphia.

The Clippers have already played great basketball, and the addition of Harden raises the team’s ceiling even higher. Yet, our model predicts the Knicks will in a low-scoring contest. Let’s take a look at why that is and see our model’s best bet for this matchup.

Los Angeles Clippers

• Have looked like a contender early on

  • Own 3-2 record, but rank 3rd in Net Rating (11.6)

• Like always, defense is what has made them elite

  • Rank 5th in Defensive Rating (105.8)

  • Opponents shooting 45.5% overall, 32.5% from three

  • Rank 11th in opponent points per game in paint (48.4), per TeamRankings

• Already had great pieces on offense before adding Harden

  • Shooting 50.7% overall. Lead league in three-point shooting (42.7%)

New York Knicks

• Offense has been massive struggle

  • Rank 29th in Offensive Rating, ahead of only Portland

  • Have posted a 39.9% field goal % and 32.2% three-point %, per NBA.com

• Low production from Julius Randle has compounded struggles

  • Averaging 13.7 ppg while shooting 27.1% overall, 22.5% from three, and 61.8% from free throw line

• Luckily, defense is great

  • Rank 3rd in Defensive Rating (103.7)

  • Have held opponents to 110 points or less in five of six games

What’s the Play?

Given New York’s offensive struggles, we think our model’s prediction of the Knicks being outright winners is far fetched. However, we do agree with our model that this is a great spot for the under.

We have no clue how the Clippers are going to look offensively. Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and James Harden are all going to want the ball in their hands, and there will likely be an adjustment period to their new teammate for a handful of games.

Either way, the Clippers’ defense remains elite, and New York’s has been right there with them. We expect a low-scoring game here.

The Play: Under 227 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Miami Heat- 2-4 overall this season, 2-1 as the home team

• Atlanta Hawks- 4-2 overall this season, 4-0 in last four games

• Denver Nuggets- 6-1 overall this season, 4-0 as the home team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Dallas Mavericks- Over is 5-1 this season, 3-0 as the away team

• New York Knicks- Under is 5-1 this season, highest win percentage in NBA

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Brooklyn Nets- 4-0-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, 1-0-1 ATS as the home team

• Denver Nuggets- 4-3 ATS this season, 3-1 ATS as the home team

🐻 Grizzlies beat Blazers for first win of season. The Memphis Grizzlies secured their first win of the season, with Desmond Bane leading the charge with 30 points, as they came from behind to defeat the Portland Trail Blazers 112-100 on Sunday. Jaren Jackson Jr. contributed 27 points to the victory, breaking the Grizzlies' six-game losing streak to open the season. Despite the Blazers leading by 24 points going into the final quarter, the Grizzlies mounted a comeback, with Jackson's dunk tying the game at 100 before they took the lead and held on for the win.

🤕 McCollum diagnosed with collapsed lung. New Orleans Pelicans guard CJ McCollum has been diagnosed with a small pneumothorax in his right lung following a Sunday morning imaging procedure. A pneumothorax is a condition where air leaks into the space between the lung and chest wall, causing the lung to collapse partially or completely. This is the second time in McCollum's career that he has dealt with a pneumothorax, with his previous occurrence happening in December 2021 while he was with the Portland Trail Blazers, causing him to miss 18 games that season.

Another slow day of hockey will occur today, as just four games are scheduled. You can find our model’s predictions for all four matchups below.

Edmonton Oilers @ Vancouver Canucks

Model Predicts- Oilers ML, OVER 7, Canucks +1.5

The Edmonton Oilers and Vancouver Canucks will go head-to-head for the third time already this season, hopefully giving us a great Pacific Division battle.

Edmonton could not have had a worse start to the season, entering today with an abysmal 2-7-1 record. The Oilers have also lost both matchups to the Canucks this year, getting outscored 12-4 across both matchups.

Edmonton as looked awful, but some underlying metrics are tipping the scales in its favor tonight. Let’s dive in and see why our model believes the Oilers will win their third game tonight.

Edmonton Oilers

• Poor goaltending has been team’s downfall

  • Jack Campbell- .879 Save % and .639 High-Danger Save % in 5-on-5, -4.7 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx)

  • Stuart Skinner- .902 Save % and .739 High-Danger Save % in 5-on-5, -2.8 GSAx

  • No starting goalie has been announced yet

• Defense has been great otherwise

  • Rank 12th in Expected Goals Against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) in 5-on-5 situations

  • Surrender just 9.36 High-Danger Scoring Chances per 60 minutes (HDCF/60) in similar situations- 4th in NHL

Vancouver Canucks

• Own 8-2-1 record this season

  • +26 goal differential, average 4.36 goals per game

• Underlying metrics are not friendly

  • Own a negative Expected Goals differential

  • Have scored 48 goals this season, but Expected Goals sits at 33.85 (Natural Stat Trick)

• Offense has generated very little pressure on net

  • Rank 27th in shots on goal per game, 29th in HDCF/60 in 5-on-5

What’s the Play?

The gap between Edmonton and Vancouver in the standings is massive, with Vancouver compiling 17 points to Edmonton’s 5. However, we think this is a good spot to back the Oilers.

Edmonton’s offense is still one of the best, if not the best, in the league. The group ranks 1st in xGF/60 and HDCF/60 in 5-on-5 situations, showing that they are generating plenty of scoring opportunities despite not always capitalizing. Meanwhile, Vancouver is failing to give itself the same kind of opportunities, yet finding the back of the net at will.

Edmonton and Vancouver are due to see regression in opposite directions, with the former expected to the good kind. We’ll take the risk and bet that to start happening today.

The Play: Oilers ML (-115)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Florida Panthers- 5-4-1 overall this season, 3-1-0 as the home team

• Boston Bruins- 9-1-1- overall this season, 4-1-0 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Toronto Maple Leafs- Under is 7-3-1 this season with average total of 6.63

• Edmonton Oilers- Over is 5-3-2 this season with average total of 8.50 goals per game

Puck Line Trends ➕➖

• Vancouver Canucks- Puck line is 10-1 this season

📆 Jack Hughes considered week-to-week. New Jersey Devils' star forward Jack Hughes is sidelined with an upper-body injury and is considered "week-to-week," causing him to return to New Jersey for care. Hughes sustained the injury in a game against the St. Louis Blues when he collided with the boards after a slight hook by Blues defenseman Torey Krug. The Devils managed to secure a 4-2 victory over the Chicago Blackhawks in Hughes' absence, and they are also missing their captain, Nico Hischier, due to an upper-body injury.

🦆 Anaheim shocks Vegas with third period comeback. The Anaheim Ducks completed their fifth third-period rally of the season, defeating the defending Stanley Cup champions, the Vegas Golden Knights, 4-2 at Honda Center. Mason McTavish sealed the comeback with a critical goal, with Sam Carrick scoring the equalizer and adding an empty-netter. Adam Henrique also contributed a goal, and goaltender John Gibson made 30 saves, extending the Ducks' winning streak to six games, the longest active streak in the NHL.