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Can the Flyers Keep the Win Streak Alive?
In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…
Yesterday’s Model Recap
NHL Model Predictions, Analysis, Trends, and News
Trivia Questions
On This Day in History…
Additional Model Predictions ⬇️
NFL Model Predictions- Click Here
NBA Model Predictions- Click Here
Yesterday’s Model Recap
There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the NFL, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 0-1 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model’s performed below.
NFL Model Results
Money Line Predictions: 1-1
Over/Under Predictions: 0-2
Spread Predictions: 2-0
Featured Matchup: 0-1
NHL🏒
Philadelphia Flyers star Travis Konecny (Getty Images)
Today’s Model Predictions
Ten NHL games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 10 matchups can be found below.
Featured Matchup🎰
Philadelphia Flyers @ St. Louis Blues
Model Predicts- Flyers ML, OVER 6, Flyers +1.5
The Philadelphia Flyers will end a three-game road trip on Monday night, with the final stop coming in St. Louis, Missouri to take on the Blues.
Philadelphia has posted a perfect record on the aforementioned road trip, picking up wins over the Minnesota Wild and Winnipeg Jets. The Flyers now own a 23-14-6 record for the season, while the Blues own a 21-18-2 record following an overtime loss to the Boston Bruins on Saturday.
Sportsbooks essentially make this game a coin flip, but our model shows a significant edge on Philadelphia tonight. Let’s take a look at why that is.
Philadelphia Flyers
Undefeated on current road trip
Wins over Wild and Jets and back-to-back nights
+3 goal differential in that stretch
Possess one of best defenses in NHL
Rank 11th in xGA/60 and 10th in HDCA/60 in 5-on-5 situations
Allow seventh-fewest shots on goal per game (28.9) and are top penalty kill team
Expected goalie- Carter Hart
.913 Save % in 5-on-5. Ranks 35th in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with +2.5
St. Louis Blues
Have gone 3-1-1 since start of 2024
Great wins over Canucks, Hurricanes, and Rangers
One of worst scoring attacks in NHL this season
Own GF/60 in 5-on-5 of 2.39, while xGF/60 sits at 2.38 in 5-on-5
Shows an offensive that is already meeting its potential
Rank in bottom 8 in NHL in both categories
Expected goalie- Jordan Binnington
.911 Save % in 5-on-5. Ranks 16th in GSAx (+6.5)
What’s the Play?
Taking a team on the back end of a road trip is always risky, but we agree with our model that the Flyers can win this game outright.
St. Louis’ scoring attack is almost non-existent, scoring two goals or less in six of the last eight games. It is unlikely that changes tonight, as Philadelphia just held the Winnipeg Jets, one of the best teams in hockey, two zero goals on Saturday night and has proven to be a force when at full strength and down a man.
It is difficult to find a crease in this Flyers defense, and although Philly’s offense is no powerhouse, the group has proven it can win games by scoring only two or three goals. That is likely all that will be needed tonight.
The Play: Flyers ML (-105)
Relevant Betting Trends
Money Line Trends 💰
Vegas Golden Knights- 24-14-5 this season, 15-5-2 as the home team
Philadelphia Flyers- 23-14-6 this season, 13-6-4 as the away team
Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️
New Jersey Devils- Over is 25-14-1 this season with average total of 7.08
Pittsburgh Penguins- Under is 22-16-3 this season with average total of 5.83
Puck Line Trends ➕➖
Vancouver Canucks- Puck line is 31-12 this season
Philadelphia Flyers- Puck line is 27-16 this season
News Around the League
🤕 Kane exits win over Toronto with injury. During Sunday's game against the Toronto Maple Leafs, Detroit Red Wings forward Patrick Kane suffered a lower-body injury in the first period, leading to his absence for the remainder of the match. Kane's final shift involved two awkward collisions, and despite Detroit winning 4-2, head coach Derek Lalonde couldn't provide an update on Kane's condition after the game. Lalonde mentioned that he doesn't believe the injury is related to Kane's previous hip surgery but acknowledged a lack of complete information.
⭐️ NHL announces coaches for All-Star weekend. The NHL announced the head coaches for the 2024 All-Star Weekend in Toronto, with Jim Montgomery (Boston Bruins), Peter Laviolette (New York Rangers), Rick Tocchet (Vancouver Canucks), and Rick Bowness (Winnipeg Jets) earning the honor. Montgomery, in his second season with the Bruins, led them to the top of the Atlantic Division with a 25-8-9 record and a .702 points percentage, the second best points percentage behind Bowness (.714). All-Star weekend is set for February 1-3.
Trivia Section🧠
Basketball Hall of Famer Julius Erving (NBA.com)
Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.
See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.
Question #1- Who did the Edmonton Oilers select with the first overall pick in the 2010 NHL Draft?
Question #2- Julius Erving and Marcus Camby played college basketball at what university?
Question #3- Who led the NFL in touchdown passes in the regular season?
On This Day in History🗓
New York Giants legend Lawrence Taylor (Focus on Sport/Getty Images)
Anyone know what has happened on January 15th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.
On January 15th…
1994- Lawrence Taylor announces his retirement from the NFL. Taylor was selected with the No.2 overall pick in the 1981 NFL Draft by the New York Giants, the team he would play for his whole career. He won two Super Bowls with the Giants and won the MVP one time, earning him a spot in the Hall of Fame in 1999.
1997- George Seifert announces his resignation from the NFL. Seifert had eight successful seasons in the NFL as the head coach of the San Francisco 49ers, posting a 108-35 record and winning two Super Bowls. He would later return to the NFL to coach the Carolina Panthers from 1999-2001.
2023- LeBron James scores 35 points in a 113-112 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers. The scoring outburst enabled James to surpass 38,000 career points, joining only Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the only players in NBA history to reach the milestone. James has now scored 39,541 points in his career, the most in NBA history.
Trivia Answers
Taylor Hall
University of Massachusetts
Dak Prescott