In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions & Bonuses ⬇️

Sportsbook Offers & Bonuses- Click Here

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the MLB, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 0-1 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 5-10

Over/Under Predictions: 6-9

Run Line Predictions: 10-5

Featured Matchup: 0-1

As a result of our new tiered subscription, newsletters written from Thursday-Sunday will only be available to Premium subscribers. More details about our tiered subscription can be seen below.

Free subscriber- Receive newsletter, model predictions, and analysis Monday-Wednesday

Paid subscriber ($10/month or $100/year)- Receive newsletter, model predictions, and analysis 7 days of the week

Click the button below to upgrade your subscription today and be on the list to receive our newsletter every day. Don’t miss out on our model predictions, analysis, & more! ⬇️

15 MLB games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 15 matchups can be found below.

Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals

Model Predicts- Royals ML, OVER 9, Royals +1.5

The Los Angeles Angels and Kansas City Royals will wrap up their three-game series on Wednesday, with Game 3 scheduled to take place at 8:10 PM Eastern.

Each team has managed to pick up a win in the series, with Kansas City emerging victorious in Game 1 before L.A. picked up a 9-5 victory on Tuesday. That stretch brings the Royals’ record to 70-56, good enough for second place in the AL Central, while the Angels sit at 54-72.

There are a few interesting factors that come into play in this matchup, resulting in our model to project another Royals victory in a high-scoring contest. Let’s take a look at what those factors are and see our MLB model’s best bet.

Los Angeles Angels

• Have split series with Royals thus far

  • Outscored 5-3 in Game 1 on Monday before winning 9-5 in Game 2

  • However, own a 2-6 record in the last eight games

• Poor pitching staff has been reason for losing skid over last eight games

  • Own 5.45 ERA (30th), 4.96 xFIP (28th), and .310 BABIP (23rd) in that stretch

  • Surrendering 4.56 walks and 1.39 home runs per 9 innings- both rank in bottom eight of MLB

• Starting pitcher- Johnny Cueto

  • Owned 6.02 ERA last season- highest of career

  • Posted 4.76 ERA in 64.1 innings in the minor leagues

Kansas City Royals

• Enter tonight as one of hottest teams in MLB

  • Own 5-1 record over last six games- one win over Twins, three over Reds, and one over Angels

  • Own +26 run differential in that six-game span

• Strong hitting has been reason for sudden dominance

  • Own 143 wRC+ across the last six games- highest in MLB

  • Also rank 1st in BABIP (.376) and OPS (.891), and 4th in Strikeout rate (18.9%)

• Starting pitcher- Michael Lorenzen

  • Due for regression- 3.68 ERA vs 4.70 xERA

  • Poor command (11.3% Walk rate) and high rates of contact (17.7% Strikeout rate)

What’s the Play?

Kansas City’s offense has been on a roll while Los Angeles has struggled to find a rhythm at the plate, but we agree with our model that this is a solid spot to back the over at its current total of nine.

Tonight will be Johnny Cueto’s first start this season, and it’s hard to imagine a scenario in which it goes well. The 38-year-old didn’t put up great numbers in the minors, and is coming off a 2023 season that him saw post the highest ERA of his career. That was largely due to the boatloads of contact he surrendered, most of which was on the barrel (10.6% Barrel rate) and in the air (34.2% Ground Ball rate).

Cueto being on the mound should enable the Royals offense to continue its hot streak, but we wouldn’t be surpised to see the Angels tag Michael Lorenzen for some runs either. The right-hander owns an xERA that is 1.02 runs higher than his real ERA, and his lack of command is going to put runners on base.

Both teams will have plenty of opportunities to score here. As a result, we’ll back the over.

The Play: Over 9 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Milwaukee Brewers- 73-52 overall this season, 35-28 as the away team, and 6-0 in last six games

• Los Angeles Dodgers- 75-52 overall this season, 40-22 as the home team, and 3-0 in last three games

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Miami Marlins- Over is 69-54-3 this season, 45-18-2 as the home team

• Milwaukee Brewers- Over is 67-50-8 this season, 32-29-2 as the away team

Run Line Trends ➕➖

• Pittsburgh Pirates- Run line is 70-55 this season, highest win percentage in MLB (56.0%)

🤕 Orioles place Eflin on IL with shoulder inflammation. The Baltimore Orioles have placed starter Zach Eflin on the 15-day injured list due to right shoulder inflammation. Eflin, who has been impressive since joining the team, will be replaced by rookie left-hander Cade Povich, with hopes that Eflin will return in September. Despite a growing list of injured pitchers, including Eflin, the Orioles are still competitive, holding a 74-53 record and now lead the Yankees by half a game in the AL East.

🐻 Cubs release reliever Hector Neris. The Chicago Cubs released reliever Héctor Neris, who had saved 17 games with a 3.89 ERA this season. The move was done to avoid triggering a player option for 2025, but Neris, a veteran with a career 3.29 ERA and 106 saves, can still join another team before August 31 to be eligible for the postseason. The Cubs promoted right-hander Jack Neely, acquired in a July trade, to replace Neris on the roster.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- Which golfer has spent the most consecutive weeks as the world No. 1 according to the Official World Golf Ranking, and how many weeks were they in the No.1 spot?

Question #2- Tommy Brown was the youngest player in MLB history to hit a home run at 17 years old, but who was the oldest and what was their age?

Question #3- The first Super Bowl was held on January 15, 1967. What two teams faced off in the game?

Anyone know what has happened on August 21st throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On August 21st…

1931- New York Yankees legend Babe Ruth becomes the first player in MLB history to reach 600 career home runs in a 11-7 victory over the St. Louis Browns. No one would join The Babe on the list for nearly 40 more years, that is until Willie McCovey launched his 600th homer in 1969. Ruth would end his career with 714 home runs, the third-most in MLB history behind only Barry Bonds and Hank Aaron.

1982- Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Rollie Fingers becomes to the first pitcher in MLB history to reach 300 career saves. Fingers reached the milestone by pitching the final two innings in a 3-2 victory over the Seattle Mariners, but surrendered a two-run homer in the ninth inning to ruin the shutout. He would retire from the MLB a few years later in 1985 with 341 saves, ranking Fingers 15th on the all-time saves list.

2020- American golfer Scottie Scheffler becomes the 12th golfer in PGA Tour history to shoot 59. Scheffler achieved the feat in the second round of the Northern Trust Open at TPC Boston, recording four birdies on the final five holes. However, Scheffler would finish the event in fifth place at 17-under par, 13 strokes behind Dustin Johnson (-30).

1. Tiger Woods (281)

2. Julio Franco (47)

3. Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers