Expect Plenty of Points in Milwaukee

In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions ⬇️ 

NCAAF Model Predictions- End of Newsletter

NCAAB Model Predictions- End of Newsletter

NHL Model Predictions- End of Newsletter

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the NFL, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 0-1 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 0-1

Over/Under Predictions: 1-0

Spread Predictions: 0-1

Featured Matchup: 0-1

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Eight NBA games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all eight matchups can be found below.

Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks

Model Predicts- Bucks ML, OVER 227.5, Bucks -7.5

The Toronto Raptors will wrap up a five-game road trip on Tuesday, with the final stop coming in Milwaukee, Wisconsin to take on the Bucks.

Toronto enters tonight’s matchup in the midst of a slump, one that has seen the Raptors go winless during their road trip. The recent struggles have the Raptors sitting in 15th place in the Eastern Conference with a 2-9 record, and surprisingly the Bucks aren’t far behind, posting a 2-8 record through 10 games.

Milwaukee and Toronto each sit in the basement of the Eastern Conference, but our model still projects both squads to pour on the points this evening. Let’s take a look at why that is.

Toronto Raptors

• Enter today on four-game losing streak

  • Losses to Nuggets, Kings, Clippers, and Lakers

  • Own -39 point differential in that span

• Defense has been an issue during road trip and for most of season

  • Last four games- 122.0 Defensive Rating (29th in NBA). Opponents shooting 48.4% from floor and scoring 117.8 points per game

  • Whole season- 120.0 Defensive Rating (30th in NBA). Opponents shooting 48.5% from floor and scoring 122.7 points per game

• Dealing with injuries to several key players

  • Scottie Barnes, Kelly Olynyk, and Bruce Brown are OUT. Immanuel Quickley is questionable

Milwaukee Bucks

• Have lost four of five games to begin November

  • Two losses to Cavaliers, one loss to Knicks, one loss to Celtics

  • Own -8 point differential in five games. Only win came against Utah Jazz

• Just like Toronto, defense has held team back this season

  • Rank 22nd in Defensive Rating at 115.7. Sits at 115.0 since November 1st

  • Weakness comes on the perimeter- opponents shooting 37.3% from three this season (fourth-highest rate in NBA)

• Key players are on injury report, but some are expected to play

  • Khris Middleton and Damian Lillard are OUT. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Gary Trent Jr. are probable

What’s the Play?

Toronto and Milwaukee have been among the NBA’s worst on the defensive end of the floor this season, and we agree with our model that trend will continue tonight. As a result, we’ll back the over here.

One big factor in this game is going to be the pace of play. Per NBA.com, Toronto and Milwaukee each rank in the top-13 of the NBA in Pace this season, meaning both squads are generating possessions at a a high rate. Neither offense is particularly strong, but the Raptors and Bucks will have plenty of opportunities to find the bottom of the bucket tonight, even with a guy like Damian Lillard sidelined.

Additionally, both teams are weakest on the perimeter on the defensive end, with Toronto allowing opponents to shoot 35.6% from three and Milwaukee’s opponents hitting three pointers at a 37.3% clip. Combining that with the projected fast pace of play is key for a high-scoring contest.

Our model projects roughly 232 points to be scored in this matchup, well above the total of 227.5 on most sportsbooks. So, we will take the over here.

The Play: Over 227.5 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Orlando Magic- 5-6 overall this season, 4-0 as the home team

• Phoenix Suns- 8-2 overall this season, 3-1 as the away team

• Golden State Warriors- 8-2 overall this season, 2-1 as the home team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Atlanta Hawks- Over is 9-2 this season, 4-1 as an underdog

• Toronto Raptors- Over is 7-4 this season, 3-0 against Eastern Conference opponents

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Boston Celtics- 6-5 against the spread (ATS) this season, 2-2 ATS as the home team

🤕 Pelicans preparing to be without Williamson for 4-6 weeks. The New Orleans Pelicans expect Zion Williamson to miss 4-6 weeks due to a hamstring strain, with his return dependent on rehab progress, though the timeline remains uncertain. The team is struggling with injuries to key players, including Dejounte Murray, CJ McCollum, and Herb Jones. Currently, the Pelicans hold a 3-8 record and sit 14th in the Western Conference, and any additional injuries hurt their chances of climbing the standings.

💪 Donovan Mitchell’s 36 points leads Cavaliers to 12th win of season. Donovan Mitchell scored a season-high 36 points to lead the Cleveland Cavaliers to a 119-113 victory over the Chicago Bulls, extending their season-opening win streak to 12 games. The Cavaliers rallied late after trailing in the third quarter, with contributions from Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and a strong bench effort, while Chicago struggled with 20 turnovers. Zach LaVine’s 26 points weren’t enough for the Bulls, who have now lost five of their last six games.

Today’s Top Sportsbook/DFS Offers🎰

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Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- The Washington Redskins and what other team combined for the highest scoring game in NFL history, recording 113 total points?

Question #2- What former Alabama running back was selected with the No.3 overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft?

Question #3- Two MLB players scored at least 115 runs during the 2009 season. One player is Albert Pujols, but who is the other?

Anyone know what has happened on November 12th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On November 12th…

1969- Minnesota Twins star Harmon Killebrew wins the American League MVP award. Harmon dominated the 1969 season to win the award, recording 49 home runs, 140 RBIs, and 106 runs scored. It was the first time Killebrew won the MVP award, but he would finish in the top-four in MVP voting five additional times in his career.

1970- The Cleveland Cavaliers win their first game in franchise history. Cleveland took down the Portland Trail Blazers by a score of 105-103, a victory that took 16 games to collect. The Cavaliers went on to post a 15-67 record in their inaugural season, placing them in eighth place in the Eastern Conference.

1991- Atlanta Braves pitcher Tom Glavine wins the National League Cy Young Award. The honor came after a dominant season on the mound by Glavine, one in which he posted a 20-11 record and 2.55 ERA across 242.6 innings. It was the first time Glavine won the Cy Young award in his career, and he would win it for a second time in 1998.

1. New York Giants

2. Trent Richardson

3. Dustin Pedroia

NCAAF Model Predictions🏈

NCAAB Model Predictions🏀

NHL Model Predictions🏒