In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter presented by Betstamp…

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There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the MLB, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 0-1 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 4-7

Over/Under Predictions: 3-8

Run Line Predictions: 6-5

Featured Matchup: 0-1

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One NBA game is scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for that matchup can be found below.

Indiana Pacers @ Boston Celtics

Model Predicts- Celtics ML, OVER 221, Pacers +10

The Indiana Pacers will make the journey to Boston, Massachusetts on Tuesday, taking on the Celtics in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals.

Indiana has reached this point by taking down the Milwaukee Bucks and New York Knicks in back-to-back series, defeating the Bucks in six games in Round 1 while coming back from down 3-2 to beat the Knicks in Game 7 in Round 2. On the other hand, Boston has had a much easier time in the postseason, beating the Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers in five games in Rounds 1 and 2, respectively.

The Celtics have been on cruise control in the postseason, and our model projects Boston to win again tonight in a high-scoring game. Let’s dive into why that is.

Indiana Pacers

• Coming off series win over Knicks

  • Beat Knicks in seven games. Went 3-0 at home and 1-3 on road in series

  • Dominated in Game 7- beat Knicks 130-109. Shot 67% overall and 54% from three

• Defensive struggles have lingered into postseason

  • Posted 117.6 Defensive Rating in regular season. Has risen to 118.1 in postseason- ranks 13th out of 16 playoff teams

  • Opponents averaging 110.8 points per game in playoffs while shooting 46.7% overall and 36.8% from three

• Injuries- Benedict Mathurin is OUT

Boston Celtics

• Haven’t faced much resistance in postseason

  • Own 8-2 record, +12.8 Net Rating, and +124 point differential in 10 games

  • Own 4-2 record and +11.1 Net Rating at home

• Took care of Indiana rather easily in regular season

  • Posted 3-2 record in five games. +11.9 Net Rating in that span

  • Dominated offensively- 126.0 Offensive Rating. Shot 52.3% overall and 43.6% from three in season series

• Injuries- Kristaps Porzingis is OUT. Xavier Tillman is questionable

What’s the Play?

The quick turnaround from Game 7 to the start of the Eastern Conference Finals is a concern for Indiana’s chances at covering the spread here. However, we don’t believe that turnaround will have a big effect on the overall scoring in this game, and as a result we will back the over.

Like most teams during the regular season, Boston picked apart the Pacers defense. We’ve already discussed Boston’s incredible shooting splits across those five games, and that efficiency led to 129.0 points per game. The numbers are even more impressive when you look at what Boston did against Indiana while playing at TD Garden, which included averaging 142.0 points per game while shooting 55.5% overall and 52.1% from three over a two-game span.

Believe it or not, advanced metrics show that the Pacers defense has gotten worse since those games were played, but those same metrics point to Indiana being an elite offensive team, one that owns the No.1 Offensive Rating in the postseason (121.7). As a result, points should come in bunches in Game 1.

The Play: Over 221 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Boston Celtics- 72-20 overall this season, 41-6 as the home team, and 8-2 overall in postseason

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Indiana Pacers- Over is 50-44-2 this season, 8-5 in the postseason with average total of 225.0

• Boston Celtics- Over was 3-2 in regular season series against Pacers with average total of 245.8

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Indiana Pacers- 51-42-3 against the spread (ATS) this season, 25-17-2 ATS as an underdog, 7-6 ATS in postseason

🏆 NBA announces All-Rookie teams. San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama and Oklahoma City Thunder big man Chet Holmgren are among the five players named to the NBA's All-Rookie first team. They are joined by Brandon Miller of the Charlotte Hornets, Jaime Jaquez of the Miami Heat, and Brandin Podziemski of the Golden State Warriors. The All-Rookie second team includes players from Western Conference teams like Dereck Lively II of the Dallas Mavericks and GG Jackson II of the Memphis Grizzlies, with Lively leading the second team in votes.

👀 Multiple teams keeping their eyes on Julius Randle. NBA teams are closely watching Julius Randle's situation with the New York Knicks after he missed their playoff run due to a shoulder injury. Randle, who averaged 24 points, 9.2 rebounds, and five assists per game before his injury, has a player option for the 2025-26 season and is eligible for a significant extension. His salary makes him a potential trade asset for the Knicks, who are actively seeking to acquire a star player to strengthen their roster following their elimination from the playoffs.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- What NFL kicker owns the record for total field goals made, making 599 in his career?

Question #2- Two Indiana University basketball players were selected inside the top-four of the 2013 NBA Draft. Who were those players?

Question #3- MLB legend Barry Bonds owns the MLB record for career home runs with 762. What other stat does he hold the all-time record for?

Anyone know what has happened on May 21st throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On May 21st…

1996- Former MLB star Ken Griffey Jr. records his 200th career home run. Griffey Jr. hit the milestone homer in a 13-7 win over the Boston Red Sox, becoming the eighth-youngest player to reach 200 home runs. Griffey Jr. would go on to hit 630 home runs in his career, currently ranking him seventh on the MLB’s all-time list.

1997- Former MLB pitcher Roger Clemens records his 200th career win. Clemens picked up the milestone win as a member of the Toronto Blue Jays, striking out 12 batters and surrendering just four hits across eight innings in a 4-1 win over the New York Yankees. Clemens would end his career with 354 wins, which currently ranks ninth in MLB history.

2023- Brooks Koepka wins the PGA Championship at Oak Hill Country Club. Koepka shot 9-under par to win the tournament, defeating Viktor Hovalnd and Scottie Scheffler by two strokes. The win gave Koepka his third PGA Championship title and fifth major title of his career.

1. Adam Vinatieri

2. Victor Oladipo, Cody Zeller

3. Walks