In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

There were plenty of predictions to go around yesterday across the NFL, NBA, and NHL, with our model focusing in on three of those predictions in our Featured Matchups. Those predictions went 0-3 overall, and you can see how each of the models performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 7-4

Over/Under Predictions: 4-7

Spread Predictions: 3-7-1

Featured Matchup: 0-1

Money Line Predictions: 6-2

Over/Under Predictions: 4-4

Spread Predictions: 2-6

Featured Matchup: 0-1

Money Line Predictions: 4-1

Over/Under Predictions: 2-3

Puck Line Predictions: 2-3

Featured Matchup: 0-1

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Yesterday our model predicted two Anytime TD Scorers, and today’s Premium agenda includes three player props/projected stat lines for Monday Night Football, as well as three NBA player props. Join Premium today!⬇️

There is only one NFL game scheduled to take place today, with that matchup featuring the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings. Our model’s predictions for that matchup can be found below.

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings

Model Predicts- Vikings ML, OVER 43.5, Vikings -3

The Chicago Bears will hit the road for the second consecutive week, this time traveling to Minneapolis, Minnesota to take on the Vikings.

Chicago nearly picked up a victory over the Detroit Lions last week, but a late collapse dropped the Bears’ record to an abysmal 3-8 and kept them buried in last place in the NFC North. Minnesota also suffered a loss last week, but sits at 6-5 and is right in the playoff race as we approach the home stretch of the regular season.

The Bears have seen improvement as the season has gone on and now have a healthy Justin Fields back in the lineup, but our model still likes the Vikings to take care of business tonight. Let’s dive into why that is.

Chicago Bears

• Nearly pulled off upset in Justin Fields’ return

  • Led Detroit 26-14 in 4th quarter

  • Two touchdowns, a two-point conversion, and safety gave Lions the win

• Struggled against Viking first time around

  • 275 total yards, 13 points

  • Fields- 60% completion %, 104 total yards, 1 INT. Left game because of injury

• Rush defense is strongest point of team and will be needed to win

  • Rank third in rush success rate

  • Hold opponents to 3.4 yards per carry- fewest in NFL

Minnesota Vikings

• 2-1 in Josh Dobbs era

  • Comeback win against Falcons, beat Saints, one-point loss to Broncos last week

• Defense has been great this season

  • Rank ninth in EPA/play, 11th in yards per play

  • Holding opponents to 18 points per game over last six weeks. 5 wins and 1 loss in that stretch

• Offense is slightly banged up

  • Still without Justin Jefferson (hamstring)

  • TJ Hockenson was questionable with rib injury, but is good to go

What’s the Play?

The Chicago Bears are nowhere near as bad as they were to begin the season, but we will still roll with our model’s prediction of the Vikings on the spread.

Minnesota’s offense flipped its approach once Kirk Cousins got injured, leaning more heavily on the run than ever before, which included running the ball on 51% of plays last week. It will be much harder to find success that way this week, but the good news is that Chicago ranks 29th in EPA/dropback and 27th in dropback success rate this season.

The Vikings were pass-heavy with Cousins, and now have far more versatility with Dobbs calling the shots. That will keep Chicago’s defense on its toes, and the Vikings stout defense should keep Justin Fields and the rest of the Bears in check once again.

The Play: Vikings -3 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Minnesota Vikings- 6-5 overall this season, 4-1 in last five games

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Chicago Bears- Over is 7-4 this season, 4-2 as the away team

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Minnesota Vikings- 7-3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, 2-1 ATS as a favorite

🦅 Eagles beat Bills in OT thriller. Jalen Hurts' 12-yard touchdown run in overtime sealed a narrow 37-34 victory for the Philadelphia Eagles against the Buffalo Bills. Hurts’ game-winning TD was just one of five that he would have his hand in on Sunday, which included three in the air and two on the ground. The win moved Philadelphia’s league-best record to 10-1, while Buffalo fell to 6-6 and the No.10 spot in the AFC.

✍️ Kelce writes history in win over Raiders. Travis Kelce achieved a historic feat on Sunday during the Kansas City Chiefs' 31-17 victory against the Las Vegas Raiders, crossing the 11,000 career receiving yards mark. Kelce became only the fourth tight end in NFL history to reach the milestone, and was simultaneously the fastest to ever do it. Now, Kelce sets his sights on Antonio Gates, as he slowly inches closer to surpassing Gates' 11,841 yards.

After eight games on Sunday, the NBA has given us just five games to dive into today. Our model’s predictions for those matchups are below.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Philadelphia 76ers

Model Predicts- 76ers ML, UNDER 231, 76ers -6

The Los Angeles find themselves in the midst of a four-game road trip, and the next stop on their journey comes in Philadelphia to take on the 76ers.

Los Angeles enters tonight’s matchup in seventh place in the Western Conference, posting a 10-7 record through 17 games. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 11-5 on the season, good enough for fourth place in the East.

Our model is right in line with many sportsbooks for this matchup, predicting the 76ers to win by just over six points against their Western Conference foe. Let’s take a look at why that is.

Los Angeles Lakers

• Coming off impressive win over Cavaliers

  • Scored 121 points and shot 52% from the field

• Most of success has come at home this season

  • 7-2 record at home, 3-5 record on road

  • +6.8 Net Rating at home, -6.6 Net Rating on road

• Key injuries to rotation players

  • Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, and Jarred Vanderbilt all out

Philadelphia 76ers

• One of most dominant offenses in NBA

  • Rank 3rd in Offensive Rating (118.9)

  • Average shooting efficiency- Rank 13th in FG% (47.2%) and 3PT FG% (36.0%)

• Have dominated opponents at home this season

  • 6-3 record, +7.8 Net Rating

  • Defensive Rating improves from 114.2 on road to 111.2 at home

• Top-heavy lineup

  • Rank 30th in bench points per game (21.6)

What’s the Play?

The Lakers pulled off a road win their last time on the court, but we agree with our model that is unlikely to happen again.

This Lakers team is an entirely different unit on the road, seeing a 13.4-point swing in their Net Rating when travel is involved. Additionally, L.A. ranks 22nd in bench points per game this season, and their depth will be further impacted by the absences of Vincent, Hachimura, and Vanderbilt.

Both of these teams lack depth, but Philly’s bench is intact for tonight’s battle and the 76ers have more fire power at the top of the lineup. We’ll back Philly to cover the spread.

The Play: 76ers -6 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Philadelphia 76ers- 11-5 overall this season, 6-3 as the home team

• Los Angeles Clippers- 7-8 overall this season, 5-2 as the home team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Los Angeles Lakers- Under is 11-6 this season, 5-3 as the away team

• Los Angeles Lakers- Under is 10-4-1- this season, 5-1-1 as the home team

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Philadelphia 76ers- 11-5 against the spread (ATS) this season, 5-2 ATS as a home favorite

🤕 Ball carried off court with ankle injury. Charlotte Hornets' LaMelo Ball had to exit Sunday's game due to a strained right ankle sustained during a play against the Orlando Magic. The injury occurred in the second quarter as he went for a layup against Paolo Banchero, requiring assistance to the locker room. This strain on the same ankle previously surgically treated in March led to Ball being ruled out for the remainder of the game.

📆 Jalen Johnson out 4-6 weeks. Atlanta Hawks forward Jalen Johnson sustained a wrist injury against the Washington Wizards, leading to an anticipated absence of 4-to-6 weeks. Despite the injury occurring during Atlanta's recent victory, Johnson attempted a one-handed free throw before leaving the game, and fortunately, medical scans revealed no wrist fracture. This setback interrupts Johnson's breakout season in the NBA, where he showcased notable improvement, averaging 14.1 points and contributing solid defense for the Hawks.

The NHL will start the last week of November slowly, giving us just six games today. Our model’s predictions for all six matchups are below.

Buffalo Sabres @ New York Rangers

Model Predicts- Rangers ML, UNDER 6.5, Sabres +1.5

The Buffalo Sabres will continue their four-game road trip on Monday, starting off their week in the Big Apple to take on the Rangers.

The Sabres’ road trip got off a rocky start on Saturday, surrendering seven goals in three periods against the New Jersey Devils. That loss was the fifth in the last seven games for Buffalo, while the Rangers are one of the hottest teams in the NHL, picking up seven wins in their last eight games.

These teams are trending in opposite directions and have represented New York in two entirely different ways this season, but our model still projects the Sabres to keep things closer than many might expect. Let’s dive into why that is.

Buffalo Sabres

• Weak offensive attack has led to slow start

  • Rank 19th in GF/60 in 5-on-5 situations

  • Poor offense is expected to regress- xGF/60 in 5-on-5 sits at 2.39 (30th in NHL)

• Struggle to generate pressure on opposing goaltenders

  • Rank 29th in shots on goal per game

  • Generate 10.69 High-Danger Scoring Chances per 60 minutes (HDCF/60) in 5-on-5

• Expected goalie- Devon Levi

  • .889 Save % in 5-on-5 this season. Ranks 57th in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with -1.9

New York Rangers

• Enter today on three-game win streak

  • Scored seven goals against Bruins last game- highest total of regular season

• Offense is not nearly as good as Bruins game may indicate

  • Rank 21st in xGF/60 in 5-on-5

  • Struggle generating pressure- rank in bottom 10 in shots on goal per game and HDCF/60 in 5-on-5

• Expected goalie- Igor Shesterkin

  • .924 Save % in 5-on-5. Ranks 10th in GSAx (+5.3)

What’s the Play?

The main hurdle that both Buffalo and New York have failed to get over this season is generating high-quality scoring chances near the net, which has limited each offense. As a result, we’ll roll with the under in this matchup.

Generating scoring chances in the “high-danger” zone is crucial to winning hockey games, and neither one these teams has done it enough for us to consider a high-scoring contest a possibility. Additionally, Buffalo and New York both have an xGF/60 in 5-on-5 that either mirrors the team’s GF/60 or is far lower, signaling that regression or very little offensive improvement is on the horizon for both squads.

Levi and Shesterkin haven’t exactly been brick walls in net, but they likely won’t have to be tonight. Our model is projecting less than six goals to be scored, so we’ll back the under at 6.5.

The Play: Under 6.5 (-120)

Money Line Trends 💰

• New York Rangers- 15-3-1 this season, 6-1-0 as the home team

• Colorado Avalanche- 14-6 this season, 7-2 as the home team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Buffalo Sabres- Under is 13-7-1 this season with average total of 6.14

• New York Rangers- Under is 11-8 this season with average total of 5.84

Puck Line Trends ➕➖

• Boston Bruins- Puck line is 11-9 this season

• Ottawa Senators- Puck line is 9-7 this season

😬 Wild lose seventh straight game on Sunday. Despite it only being November, the Minnesota Wild’s season appears to be slipping away rapidly. Detroit winger Davide Perron did a number on the Wild, netting two power-play goals, which extended Minnesota’s losing streak to seven games, their lengthiest since 2015-16. Despite Joel Eriksson Ek’s power-play goal and Filip Gustavsson's 19 saves, the Wild haven’t secured a win in three weeks, citing recurring mistakes and inadequate performances from certain players.