In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter sponsored by SportSense Premium…

There were plenty of predictions to go around yesterday across the NCAA and NHL, with our model focusing in on two of those predictions in our Featured Matchups. Those predictions went 2-1 overall, and you can see how each of the models performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 17-3

Over/Under Predictions: 11-9

Spread Predictions: 9-11

Featured Matchup: 1-0

Money Line Predictions: 2-2

Over/Under Predictions: 3-1

Spread Predictions: 1-3

Featured Matchup: 0-1

Money Line Predictions: 7-5

Over/Under Predictions: 6-5-1

Puck Line Predictions: 6-6

Featured Matchup: 1-0

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Today’s agenda includes stat projections and prop bets for every starting quarterback, as well as props for several more NFL and NBA players. Join Premium today! ⬇️

There are 12 NFL games scheduled to take place today, with another one coming in Frankfurt, Germany. Our model’s predictions for all 12 matchups can be found below.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

Model Predicts- Ravens ML, OVER 38, Ravens -6.5

The Cleveland Browns will take their talents to Baltimore, Maryland on Sunday to take on the Ravens in an exciting AFC North matchup.

Cleveland enters Sunday with a 5-3 record, tied with Pittsburgh and Cincinnati in a jam-packed AFC North division. Meanwhile, Baltimore has created some separation from the rest of its division rivals, posting a 7-2 record and winning four consecutive games.

Cleveland’s defense has won the Browns many games this season, but our model believes Baltimore will win today’s game by more than a touchdown. Let’s take a look at why that is and see our model’s best bet for today’s matchup.

Cleveland Browns

• All know about this defense by now

  • 1^st in EPA/play, opponent success rate of 33%

  • 2^nd in opponent yards per play

• However, defense has had a hard time on the road

  • Surrender 3.1 yards per play at home, but 6.1 on the road

  • Allowing 10.2 points per game at home, but 29.3 on the road

  • Run defense suffers especially with change in venue

    • Surrender 36 more rush yards per game on road than at home

• Offensive line is in shambles

  • Have been without Jack Conklin all year, now will be without Jedrick Wills. Dawand Jones is questionable

Baltimore Ravens

• Just as good as Browns defensively

  • 1^st in opponent yards per play, 2^nd in opponent EPA/play and success rate

• Run-heavy offense. Plays right into Cleveland’s biggest road weakness

  • Run ball on 51.55% of plays- highest rate in NFL

  • 3rd in yards per rush attempt, 1st in rush yards per game

• Crushed Cleveland earlier this season

  • Won 28-3. Out-gained Cleveland 296 to 196

  • Browns were without Deshaun Watson

What’s the Play?

Division matchups are usually tightly contested, especially when it involves two teams as solid as the Browns and Ravens.

However, we agree with our model that Baltimore is in a good position to cover the spread.

Cleveland’s defense is great, but it has collapsed on the road several times this season and it can no longer be ignored. That defense has been the Browns’ biggest advantage this season, but against the Ravens that advantage no longer exists, as both are neck and neck in several metrics.

Baltimore should be able to run the ball all day long, which will chew cock while simultaneously putting up points. Getting the Ravens under a touchdown is a great number.

The Play: Ravens -6.5 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Indianapolis Colts- 4-5 overall this season, 3-1 as the away team (Play in Germany today)

• Green Bay Packers- 3-5 overall this season, 1-1 as a home underdog

• New Orleans Saints- 5-4 overall this season, 3-2 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Under is 6-2 this season, 3-1 as the home team

• Los Angeles Chargers- Under is 6-2 this season, 2-0 as an underdog

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Indianapolis Colts- 5-4 against the spread (ATS) this season, 1-0 ATS a favorite

• Baltimore Ravens- 6-3 ATS this season, 3-1 ATS as a home favorite

For additional Week 10 NFL bets, check out our collaboration with Chuck Scalies on Youtube. You can also follow him on the Action Network app at the link below to see all of his plays as he bets them.

Chuck Scalies Action Network- https://app.actionnetwork.com/4zu6/zvyg60r1

🚔️ Michael Thomas arrested and charged with battery. New Orleans Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas was arrested on Friday around 7 p.m. on misdemeanor charges of simple battery and criminal mischief. Following an altercation with a construction worker in his neighborhood, Thomas allegedly yelled at the worker about parking in front of his house and threw a brick at the worker's windshield. This incident occurred after weeks of tension, during which Thomas had repeatedly asked construction workers to avoid parking in front of his house.

🤕 Tee Higgins out with hamstring injury. Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins will be sidelined for Sunday's game against the Houston Texans due to a hamstring injury. The extent of Higgins' long-term availability remains uncertain, especially with a crucial AFC North contest against the Baltimore Ravens scheduled for Thursday. Defensive end Sam Hubbard will also miss the game with an ankle injury, while the odds of wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase playing are more favorable after he dealt with a back injury earlier in the week.

A busy day of NBA basketball is on deck today, with 11 games scheduled to take place. You can find our model’s predictions for all 11 matchups below.

Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Pelicans

Model Predicts- Mavericks ML, UNDER 233.5, Mavericks -3

The Dallas Mavericks will begin a two-game stretch against the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday, the first of four consecutive road games for Dallas.

The Mavericks enter tonight’s matchup with a stellar 7-2 record, most recently defeating the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday. Meanwhile, the Pelicans’s injury troubles have put the team into a slump, forcing New Orleans to lose four straight games and watch their record slip to 4-5.

Dallas has been one of the most reliable teams to bet on this season, and our model believes there is value in backing them on the spread again. Let’s dive into why that is.

Dallas Mavericks

• Coming off dominant win against Clippers

  • Won 144-126. Broke things open by outscoring L.A. 47-18 in the second quarter

  • Luka Doncic was star of the show- 44 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists on 17/21 shooting

• Offense has been one of best in early going

  • Rank 2nd in Offensive Rating (121.3)

  • Rank 1st in three-point shooting % (40.3%)

• Defense needs improvement to sustain momentum

  • Allowing opponents to shoot 49.0% from the floor

  • Rank 28th in opponent points per game in the paint (57.8)

New Orleans Pelicans

• Enter today on four-game losing streak

  • Losses to Hawks, Nuggets, Timberwolves, and Rockets

  • Average margin of defeat is 15 points

• Injury bug is making its way through the locker room

  • Will be without CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy, and Jose Alvarado

  • Herb Jones and Naji Marshall are questionable

• Offense lacks depth

  • Starters score 82.0 points per game- 11th most in NBA

  • Bench scores 25.4 points per game- 4th fewest in NBA

What’s the Play?

It looked like the Pelicans would be a force in the Western Conference to begin the season, but the injury to CJ McCollum has proven to be too much to overcome offensively. As a result, we like Dallas to cover the spread tonight.

New Orleans already lacked offensive firepower with McCollum on the floor, and removing McCollum’s 21.7 points per game from the lineup is a huge hit. The Pelicans have scored just 106 points per game with him sidelined, which simply isn’t enough to keep up with Dallas.

The Mavericks have the fifth-highest scoring bench with 42.8 points per game, on top of getting nearly 54 points per game from Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. We’ll back that firepower against a weakened Pelicans squad tonight.

The Play: Mavericks -3 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Dallas Mavericks- 7-2 overall this season, 3-1 as the away team

• Minnesota Timberwolves- 6-2 overall this season, 5-0 in last five games

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• New York Knicks- Under is 6-2 this season with average total of 209.88

• Detroit Pistons- Over is 6-4 this season, 3-2 as the away team

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Indiana Pacers- 6-3 against the spread (ATS) this season, 2-1 ATS as an underdog

• Dallas Mavericks- 5-4 ATS this season, 3-1 ATS as the away team

☘️ Brown, Tatum dominate in win over Raptors. Jaylen Brown contributed 29 points, while Jayson Tatum added 27 as the Boston Celtics secured a comfortable 117-94 win against the Toronto Raptors. Kristaps Porzingis chipped in with 21 points and seven rebounds in 28 minutes for the Celtics, who notched their second consecutive victory following a 14-point triumph over Brooklyn in their inaugural NBA In-Season Tournament game. The win was the 7th for Boston this season, now tied with Philadelphia for the most in the Eastern Conference.

🏥 Kelly Oubre hospitalized after being hit by car. Philadelphia 76ers guard Kelly Oubre Jr. has been discharged from a Philadelphia hospital following treatment for injuries sustained when he was hit by a car in Center City on Saturday night. Oubre, 27, was hospitalized in stable condition, and though he will miss a significant portion of the season, he is not expected to be sidelined for the entire duration. The team announced that Oubre will collaborate closely with the 76ers medical staff for ongoing treatment, but specific details about his injuries were not disclosed.

A slow day of hockey awaits, as just five games are scheduled to take place. You can check out or model’s predictions for all five matchups below.

Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild

Model Predicts- Stars ML, UNDER 6, Stars +1.5

The Dallas Stars will play the second-leg of a back-to-back this evening against the Minnesota Wild.

Dallas performed well in Game 1 of this back-to-back set, defeating the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Stars now sit in first place in the Central division with a 9-3-1 record, while Minnesota owns a 5-7-2 record after losing six of its last eight contests.

Fatigue is always a factor in these spots, but our model still gives Dallas a slight edge in today’s matchup. Let’s take a look at why

Dallas Stars

• Offense still has room to grow

  • GF/60 in 5-on-5 sits at 2.86, while xGF/60 comes in at 2.94 (Natural Stat Trick)

• Don’t generate many shots on goal, but scoring chances are high-quality

  • Rank 22nd in shots on goal per game (29.9), but rank 6th in high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes (HDCF/60) in 5-on-5

• Expected starter- Jake Oettinger

  • .981 Save % in 5-on-5, 2.10 goals allowed average

  • Ranks 8th in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx)

Minnesota Wild

• Poor defense has led to disastrous start

  • Rank 30th in GA/60 in 5-on-5 (3.28)

  • Has led to -9 goal differential in last eight games

• Offense is due for regression

  • GF/60 in 5-on-5 sits at 3.01, but xGF/60 is just 2.45

  • Mostly due to lack of pressure on net- rank 24th in HDCF/60

• Expected goalie- Filip Gustavsson

  • .888 Save % in 5-on-5. Allowing 5.2 goals per game in last five starts

  • Ranks 72nd out of 73 goalies in GSAx (-7.3)

What’s the Play?

Our model makes Dallas only a slight favorite in today’s matchup, but we think it is still worth taking the Stars here.

Minnesota is in a tough spot as a team. The Wild can’t seem to keep pucks in front of them defensively, and their offense has been out-performing expectations by a wide margin. That is a recipe for disatser, even though Dallas played less than 24 hours ago.

Oettinger is far more reliable in net when compared to Gustavsson too, giving Dallas three advantages heading into today. We’ll back the Stars on the money line.

The Play: Stars ML (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Dallas Stars- 9-3-1 overall this season, 6-1-1 as the away team

• Vancouver Canucks- 10-3-1 overall this season, 5-3-0 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Dallas Stars- Under is 8-5 this season with average total of 5.62

• Vancouver Canucks- Over is 8-4-2 this season with average total of 6.57

Puck Line Trends ➕➖

• Montreal Canadiens- Puck line is 8-6 this season

⭐️ Jarry shines in Penguins shutout win. The Pittsburgh Penguins returned home from a three-game road trip on Saturday, building on the momentum that was built out west. Led by Tristan Jarry’s 35 saves, Pittsburgh dominated the Sabres, scoring at least one goal in all three periods. The win marked the fourth consecutive for the Penguins, and it was Tristan Jarry’s third shut out across nine appearances this season.

🧢 Hyman nets hat trick in win over Kraken. Edmonton Oilers' Zach Hyman secured a natural hat trick in the first period, leading the team to a 4-1 victory over the Seattle Kraken and ending their four-game losing streak. Hyman's third goal came with 1:20 remaining in the opening period, contributing to his seventh goal of the season and marking his first multi-goal game this year. The win, highlighted by Hyman's exceptional performance, provided relief for the Oilers, with coach Jay Woodcroft praising Hyman's determination and impact on securing the lead.