In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter sponsored by SportSense Premium…

There were plenty of predictions to go around yesterday across the NCAA, NBA, and NHL, with our model focusing in on three of those predictions in our Featured Matchups. Those predictions went 3-0 overall, and you can see how each of the models performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 14-6

Over/Under Predictions: 10-10

Spread Predictions: 10-9-1

Featured Matchup: 1-0

Money Line Predictions: 5-3

Over/Under Predictions: 3-5

Spread Predictions: 2-6

Featured Matchup: 1-0

Money Line Predictions: 8-7

Over/Under Predictions: 10-5

Puck Line Predictions: 9-6

Featured Matchup: 1-0

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There are 12 NFL games scheduled to take place on this Sunday. You can find all of our model’s predictions below.

Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs

Model Predicts- Chiefs ML, UNDER 50.5, Chiefs -1

The Miami Dolphins and Kansas Chiefs traveled across the pond earlier this week and will go head-to-head in Frankfurt, Germany on Sunday.

Miami enters today’s matchup with a 6-2 record, putting the Dolphins in first place in the AFC East. Kansas City also owns a 6-2 record, but is coming off a brutal loss to the Broncos last week that has some questioning how far this team can go.

The spread for this game sits at just 1, but our model predicts that Kansas City will win this matchup by nearly a field goal. Let’s take a look at why that is.

Miami Dolphins

• Have yet to beat a good team

  • All wins have come against teams below .500. Posted -32 combined point differential in two losses to Bills and Eagles

• Totally different offense on road

  • 43.5 points per game at home (scored 70 against Denver), 24.3 points per game on the road

  • 7.8 yards per play at home, 6.7 on the road

• Jalen Ramsey is back, but may not correct what defense is bad at

  • Bad run defense- rank 29^th in EPA/rush, 28^th in rush success rate, 27^th in run stop win rate

  • Dealing with other injuries as well- Xavien Howard (Questionable) starting o-lineman Robert Hunt (OUT)

Kansas City Chiefs

• Horrible loss last week, but we shouldn’t overreact

  • Mahomes reportedly dealing with flu. Played division rival on road, which is always a tough matchup

• Defense will be key this week

  • Rank in top 5 in EPA/play and success rate

  • Holding opponents to 176.1 pass yards per game

    • Have played good QBs- Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, Kirk Cousins, Justin Herbert. 3-1 in those games

    • Face Miami team that throws the ball on 59% of plays

What’s the Play?

We know, last week was far from pretty for Kansas City, but going against the Dolphins provides the Chiefs with a great matchup.

The Chiefs’ defense is one of the best units in the league, especially against the pass. As we all know, Miami can light it up through the air, but once again the Dolphins have done tons of damage against bad teams and have disappeared against the good teams. Even after last week, we’ll still slot Kansas City in as a “good team”.

Patrick Mahomes had one of his worst games as a pro last week, turning the ball over three times and failing to score a touchdown. That won’t happen again this week, and we feel great about the Chiefs on the money line.

The Play: Chiefs ML (-120)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Kansas City Chiefs- 6-2 overall this season, 16-3 when coming off a loss in Patrick Mahomes era

• Houston Texans- 3-4 overall this season, 2-1 as the home team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Chicago Bears- Over is 6-2 this season, 3-1 as the away team

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Under is 6-1 this season with average total of 35.57

• Buffalo Bills- Under is 5-3 this season, 3-0 in primetime games

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Seattle Seahawks- 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, 2-1 ATS as the away team

• Washington Commanders- 3-1-1 ATS this season as an underdog

For additional Week 9 NFL bets, check out our collaboration with Chuck Scalies on Youtube. You can also follow him on the Action Network app at the link below to see all of his plays as he bets them.

Chuck Scalies Action Network- https://app.actionnetwork.com/4zu6/zvyg60r1

💰️ Bears pay Montez Sweat BIG money. Just a few days after being traded from the Washington Commanders, the Chicago Bears and Montez Sweat reached a long-term extension agreement. The 27-year-old Sweat signed a four-year contract worth $98 million, with $72 million guaranteed (approximately $62 million at signing) and a front-loaded structure, aiming to earn around $56 million by 2025. Sweat's extension makes him the highest-paid player on the Bears' roster and the NFL's fifth-highest paid edge rusher, significantly boosting the team's defense.

🤕 Darren Waller, Tyrod Taylor hit IR. New York Giants' standout tight end Darren Waller and backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor have been placed on injured reserve due to injuries, sidelining them until at least after the team's bye week. Both injuries were suffered in last week’s game against the Jets, with Waller suffering a hamstring injury while Taylor had a rib cage injury. The earliest possible return for both players is Monday, Dec. 11, against the Green Bay Packers, making their absence a significant loss for the Giants.

There are just five NBA games at our disposal today, with the first game beginning at 3pm Eastern. Our model’s predictions for today’s matchups are below.

Toronto Raptors @ San Antonio Spurs

Model Predicts- Raptors ML, OVER 223, Raptors -3

The Toronto Raptors and San Antonio Spurs will end their respective weeks on Sunday with a matchup in San Antonio.

As many expected, Toronto has started the season on the wrong foot, entering today’s matchup with a 2-4 record after a 15-point loss to the 76ers on Thursday. Meanwhile, San Antonio has surprised some people, and now Victor Wembanyama and the rest of the crew sit at 3-2.

Despite the slow start, our model expects Toronto to go on the road and cover the spread this afternoon. Let’s take a look at why that is.

Toronto Raptors

• Defense has been elite through six games

  • Own 107.4 Defensive Rating, 8th best in NBA this season

  • Opponents are shooting just 42.6% overall and 30.7% from three, per NBA.com

• Offense needs some work

  • 106.6 Offensive Rating. Average 104.5 points per game

  • Slowest team in NBA- generate 96.66 offensive possessions per game

  • Have scoring depth at top of lineup- Four players avergaing at least 14.6 points per game

• Injuries

  • Precious Achiuwa (Questionable), Christian Koloko (OUT)

San Antonio Spurs

• Defense continues to be a weak point

  • 27th in Defensive Rating

  • Rank last in opponent field goal % (51.0%). Opponents shooting 38.0% from three

  • Surrender 54.0 points per game in the paint, even with Wembanyama down low

• Offense has been solid, but will be missing key piece today

  • 115.0 points per game on 47.0% shooting

  • Devin Vassell will not play- averaging 19.4 points per game while shooting 53.7% from the floor and 40.7% from three

What’s the Play?

Despite what Toronto’s record may say, buckets have been difficult to come by against the Raptors this season. That likely won’t change today, so we’ll back the Raptors as a road favorite.

The absence of Devin Vassell is a big one for this young Spurs team. His shooting efficiency and three-point ability has often kept the Spurs competitive, but we think it will be difficult for the Spurs to maintain contact today with both of those traits absent.

San Antonio is coming off two big wins against an injury-riddled Suns team this week, so confidence in the Spurs is at an all-time high. However, this is likely a spot for a reality check.

The Play: Raptors -3 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Golden State Warriors- 5-1 overall this season, 4-0 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• San Antonio Spurs- Over is 4-1 this season with average total of 236.2 points

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Phoenix Suns- 2-1 against the spread (ATS) as the away team this season

• Golden State Warriors- 3-1 ATS as the away team this season

🤕 Wendell Carter Jr. expected to miss three weeks. Orlando Magic's center Wendell Carter Jr. is scheduled for surgery to address a fractured fingee, keeping him sidelined for roughly three weeks. He sustained the injury when he fell on his left hand while going for a rebound during a recent victory against the Utah Jazz, interrupting a season where he is averaging 9.4 points and 8.6 rebounds per game. In response to his absence, the Magic inserted Goga Bitadze into the starting lineup, where he will likely stay for the next few games.

💪 76ers extend win streak to four. Joel Embiid contributed 26 points and 11 rebounds as the Philadelphia 76ers secured a 112-100 victory against the undermanned Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Kelly Oubre Jr. added 25 points, while Tobias Harris had 18 points and 10 rebounds, extending the 76ers' winning streak to four games. In the absence of star guards Devin Booker and Bradley Beal, Kevin Durant scored 31 points for the Suns, who struggled with a 36.0 percent shooting percentage and fell to 2-4 on the season.

Today is a brutal day for hockey fans, as just two games are scheduled to take place. Our model’s predictions for both matchups are below.

New Jersey Devils @ Chicago Blackhawks

Model Predicts- Devils ML, UNDER 6.5, Blackhawks +1.5

The New Jersey Devils will continue their four-game road trip on Sunday, stopping in the Windy City to take on the Chicago Blackhawks.

New Jersey suffered its fourth loss of the season last time out, a 4-1 defeat at the hands of the St. Louis Blues. On the other hand, Chicago comes into today with quite a bit of momentum on its side after taking home a 5-2 victory over the Panthers last night.

The Over is 9-1 this season in games that include the New Jersey Devils, but our model has identified some value on the under in this spot. Let’s dive into this matchup and see why that is.

New Jersey Devils

• Offense has struggled in 5-on-5 situations

  • Own 2.05 GF/60 this season (Natural Stat Trick)

  • 17 of team’s 39 goals have come on power play

• Defense is due for improvement

  • Have posted a 2.96 GA/60 in 5-on-5, but xGA/60 in similar situations sits at 2.44

  • Have limited pressure near crease- 10.69 high-danger chances against per 60 minutes (HDCA/60)

• Expected goalie- Vitek Vanecek

  • .900 Save % in 5-on-5 situations

  • Ranks 49th in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with -1.1, per MoneyPuck

Chicago Blackhawks

• Scored five goals last night, but offense wasn’t great overall

  • Generated just 24 shots on goal, 14 of which came in first period

  • Generated eight high-danger chances, but gave up 16

• Bad offense has been a theme this year

  • Rank 29th in xGF/60 (2.28), 32nd in high-danger chances per 60 minutes in 5-on-5 situations

• Expected goalie- Arvid Soderblom

  • .868 Save % in 5-on-5

  • Ranks 25th in GSAx +1.4

What’s the Play?

Backing the under in any Devils game has proven to be a poor strategy, but we agree with our model that it will pay off here.

Chicago is arguably the worst offensive team in the league this season, and scoring 5 goals on 24 shots like the Blackhawks did last night is an outlier performance. This team simply doesn’t generate enough pressure on net to score in bunches, and we’ve already seen them collapse on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, a 3-1 loss to Boston.

The Devils are always a threat to score, but they will be without Jack Hughes, who leads the team in points, and Nico Hischier today. That should make for a low score.

The Play: Under 6.5 (-115)

Money Line Trends 💰

• New Jersey Devils- 6-3-1 overall this season, 3-1-0 as the away team

• Vegas Golden Knights- 11-0-1 overall this season, 7-0-1 as the home team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Chicago Blackhawks- Under is 6-4 this season with average total of 5.80

Puck Line Trends ➕➖

• Chicago Blackhawks- Puck line is 5-5 this season

• Vegas Golden Knights- Puck line is 7-5 this season

🧢 O’Reilly records hat trick in win over Oilers. Ryan O'Reilly had a remarkable performance, notching a hat trick and an assist for the Nashville Predators in their 5-2 victory over the Edmonton Oilers. Filip Forsberg contributed a goal and three assists, and Tommy Novak added a goal and an assist for the Predators, who improved their record to 5-6-0. Despite a strong effort from Edmonton's Darnell Nurse and Zach Hyman, who both scored, the Oilers struggled to secure a win, falling to 2-7-1 for the season.

🦈 Sharks make history in all the wrong ways. The San Jose Sharks are hands down the NHL’s worst team, and they entered the record books because of it. Last night we saw the Sharks surrender 10 goals to the Pittsburgh Penguins, becoming the first team in NHL history to allow double-digit goals in back-to-back games after seeing the Canucks score 10 on Thursday. San Jose also tied the NHL record for losses to begin the season, owning 11 this season.