In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter presented by SportSense Premium…

Additional Model Predictions ⬇️

NBA Model Predictions- Click Here

NHL Model Predictions- Click Here

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the MLB, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 1-0 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 6-9

Over/Under Predictions: 9-5-1

Run Line Predictions: 10-5

Featured Matchup: 1-0

Get 20% Off SportSense Premium TODAY!

Want to have more data and projections at your fingertips before placing your bets? Then SportSense Premium is for you, and TODAY you can get a 20% discount on your first month using code “premium20” at checkout!

Just type “premium20” into the “Coupon Code” box after clicking “Purchase Premium Now” button!

Player Projections- Our player prop models provide stat projections for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB players, and are updated every morning!

Model Track- Every money line, over/under, spread, and best bet prediction made by our model’s is tracked and updated daily, providing a visual into which bets are hot and which are not!

Power Rankings- Our power rankings models use past and expected stats to rank each team in the NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB, and are updated every Monday!

Premium subscribers have the tools to become smarter sports bettors and win more consistently. Click the button below to join them today and redeem your 20% discount!

10 MLB games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 10 matchups can be found below.

New York Mets @ St. Louis Cardinals

Model Predicts- Mets ML, OVER 8, Mets +1.5

The New York Mets will continue their six-game road trip on Monday, beginning the week in St. Louis, Missouri to take on the Cardinals in a three-game series.

New York enters tonight’s matchup in a slight slump, losing three consecutive games to the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend. Luckily for the Mets, the Cardinals are in a similar position, losing three of their last four, including two out of three games against the lowly Chicago White Sox in their weekend series.

Neither one of these teams has shown much promise in the early season, but our model projects the Mets to pick up a win today as an underdog in what should be a high-scoring game. Let’s take a look at why that is.

New York Mets

• Enter this series after being swept by Tampa Bay Rays

  • Lost 7-6 in extra innings yesterday

  • -5 run differential in series. Never lost by more than two runs

• Performed well against right-handed pitching vs Rays

  • 104 wRC+ and .292 BABIP in three games. Lines up with season trends (11th in wRC+, .277 BABIP, 20.6% K rate)

  • All 15 runs scored in series came against right-handed pitchers

  • Face Kyle Gibson this afternoon (right-handed)

• Starting pitcher- Sean Manaea

  • Due to see steep regression- 3.07 ERA vs 4.75 xERA

  • Walks are problem, can’t keep ball on ground- Ranks in bottom 10% in walk rate (14.1%) and ground ball rate (32.1%)

St. Louis Cardinals

• Off to slow start in month of May

  • Own 1-3 record through four games, including two losses to White Sox

  • -5 run differential. Held to one run in two games

• Have been bad against left-handed pitching overall, but doing some things well

  • Rank in bottom three in wRC+ (71) and BABIP (.216)

  • However, own 10.6% walk rate and 18.4% strikeout rate- top 10 in both categories

• Starting pitcher- Kyle Gibson

  • Has allowed three earned runs in last 19.0 innings, but owns 3.79 ERA vs 5.55 xERA

  • Not striking hitters out often (19.1% K rate) and getting barreled up (11.1% Barrel rate)

What’s the Play?

Our model only shows a slight edge toward the over at its current total of eight runs, but we agree with our model that plenty of runs should be scored by both teams tonight.

St. Louis has been very bad against left-handers this season, but facing Sean Manaea can reverse that trend. Manaea is walking opposing hitters at an absurd 14.1% clip, a staggering spike from his career average of 6.7% (Baseball Savant). His inability to find the strike zone has allowed 34 opposing batters to get on base across his last 18.1 innings, numbers that point towards a Cardinals team that generates walks and few strikeouts against lefties to doing some damage.

We should expect New York’s offense to get going tonight as well. Gibson is a prime candidate for regression, as the 1.76-run gap between his ERA and xERA indicates, and his inability to keep balls off the barrel can cause runs to come across the plate in bunches. New York has already homered four times in three games against St. Louis this season, and the Mets are in position to add to those numbers.

Once again, our model isn’t showing a ton of value on the over, but we still think its worth a swing.

The Play: Over 8 (-120)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Chicago Cubs- 21-14 overall this season, 12-4 as the home team

• Texas Rangers- 19-16 overall this season, 9-7 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Milwaukee Brewers- Over is 19-13-1 this season, 8-5 as a road underdog

• New York Mets- Over is 10-5 this season as the away team, highest win percentage in MLB (66.7%)

Run Line Trends ➕➖

• Milwaukee Brewers- Run line is 18-15 this season, 14-7 as an underdog

• Oakland Athletics- Run line is 20-15 this season, 8-6 as home underdog

💥 Ohtani uses power to lead Dodgers to sweep of Braves. Shohei Ohtani had a standout performance, going 4 for 4 with two home runs, as the Los Angeles Dodgers secured a 5-1 victory over the Atlanta Braves, completing a sweep of the three-game series. Ohtani's first homer, a two-run shot, came off Max Fried in the first inning, followed by two singles in the third and sixth innings, and another solo homer in the eighth off A.J. Minter. Ohtani now has 10 home runs for the season, tied for the most in the National League.

🤕 Wyatt Langford out several weeks with hamstring injury. Texas Rangers rookie Wyatt Langford will be placed on the 10-day injured list due to a strained right hamstring, according to manager Bruce Bochy. Bochy mentioned that Langford's injury is more severe than initially thought, likely a Grade 2 strain, and expects him to be out for three to four weeks. Langford sustained the injury while running out a ground ball in a game against the Kansas City Royals, and Travis Jankowski is expected to take over in left field during Langford's absence.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- Who is the only defensive player to win the Heisman Trophy, taking home the award in 1997?

Question #2- Former MLB player Ryan Braun played college baseball at what current ACC school?

Question #3- What NBA player won back-to-back MVP awards in the 2018-19 and 2019-20 seasons?

Anyone know what has happened on May 6th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On May 6th…

1982- Seattle Mariners pitcher Gaylord Perry records his 300th career win. The performance came in a 7-3 win over the New York Yankees, one in which Perry pitched all nine innings and surrendered nine hits while striking out four. He became the 15th pitcher in MLB history to win 300 games, and ended his career with 314.

1998- Kerry Wood strikes out 20 batters in a single game. Wood also allowed just one hit and zero walks in the game, which was only the fifth start of his MLB career. The 20 strikeouts tied an MLB record, which he now holds alongside Roger Clemens and Max Scherzer.

2019- Pablo Sandoval records a home run, stolen base, and scoreless inning in the same game. The performance came in a 12-4 Giants loss against the Cincinnati Reds, one in which saw Sandoval take the mound due to a depleted bullpen. It was only the second time in MLB history a player did all three in the same game, with the first being Christy Mathewson in 1905.

1. Charles Woodson

2. University of Miami

3. Giannis Antetokounmpo