In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter presented by SportSense Premium…

Additional Model Predictions ⬇️

NBA Model Predictions- Click Here

NHL Model Predictions- Click Here

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the NBA, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 1-0 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 2-0

Over/Under Predictions: 1-2

Spread Predictions: 2-0

Featured Matchup: 1-0

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15 MLB games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 15 matchups can be found below.

Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Model Predicts- Diamondbacks ML, OVER 8.5, Reds +1.5

The Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks will continue their three-game series on Tuesday, with first pitch scheduled for 9:40 PM Eastern.

Arizona got the best of Cincinnati in Game 1, taking down the Reds 6-5 in nine innings thanks to a walk-off single by Kevin Newman. That win provides Arizona with some momentum entering tonight’s battle, as the Diamondbacks have now won two consecutive games and six of their last eight.

Both Cincinnati and Arizona enter this matchup with sub .500 records, but the Diamondbacks have been playing far better baseball as of late and our model projects that will be the case once again tonight. Let’s take a look at why that is.

Cincinnati Reds

• Month of May has not been kind to Reds

  • Own 1-10 record since May 1st, which includes four losses to Diamondbacks

  • -28 run differential in that span

• Offensive struggles have been reason for massive slump

  • Have scored just 28 total runs in last 11 games. Have been held to two runs or less in six of 11 matchups

  • Rank 30th in wRC+ (64), 26th in BABIP (.241), and 18th in strikeout rate (22.5%)

• Starting pitcher- Hunter Green

  • Due for some positive regression- 3.38 ERA against 2.60 xERA

  • Walks and ground balls are concern- Ranks in bottom 24% in walk rate (11.0%) and ground ball rate (36.6%)

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Undefeated against Reds this season

  • Own perfect 4-0 record after last night’s win. +8 run differential in season series

• Offense has been on fire in last eight games

  • Rank 7th in wRC+ (114) and OPS (.756). Have hit nine home runs in that span

  • Crushing right-handed pitching- wRC+ jumps to 124 and OPS to .792. Walk rate sits at 10..0%

• Starting pitcher- Slade Cecconi

  • Due to see positive regression just like Greene- 4.15 ERA vs 2.71 xERA

  • Vulnerable to lots of contact (20.2% Whiff rate, 20.3% K rate), but limits hard contact (32.2% Hard Hit rate, 87.6 mph Average Exit Velocity)

What’s the Play?

Many metrics show that both Hunter Green and Slade Cecconi are due to allow fewer runs, but we agree with our model that Cecconi and the Diamondbacks are the team to back tonight.

Hunter Greene isn’t the easiest pitcher to hit, but his lack on control always puts opposing hitters on bases. As previously mentioned, Greene’s 11.0% walk rate ranks in the bottom 24% of the MLB this season, and it is up from 9.6% a season ago while his strikeout rate is down 2.8%. We’ve seen those control issues put the Reds in some bad spots over Greene’s last two starts, with Greene walking nine batters in 10.2 innings.

As a result, there will be ducks on the pond for Arizona today, which is great news for a group that has crushed right-handed pitchers over the last eight games. The Diamondbacks could certainly get Greene into trouble early, forcing the Reds to go to a depleted bullpen that utilized six pitchers last night, which only further helps their chances to pick up another win in the season series.

Cincinnati can’t seem to figure things out at the plate, and tonight won’t be much easier. We’ll take Arizona on the money line here.

The Play: Diamondbacks ML (-120)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Philadelphia Phillies- 29-13 overall this season, 6-4 against division opponents (Play NL East rival New York today)

• Arizona Diamondbacks- 20-22 overall this season, 6-2 in last eight games, and 4-0 against Reds this season

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Boston Red Sox- Under is 24-14-3 this season, 12-6-2 as the home team

• San Diego Padres- Over is 22-21-1 this season, 12-10-1 as the home team

Run Line Trends ➕➖

• Chicago White Sox- Run line is 13-8 as the home team this season

• Kansas City Royals- Run line is 25-18 overall this season, 16-9 as an underdog

🤕 Friedl back to IL after short return. The Cincinnati Reds have placed outfielder TJ Friedl on the 10-day injured list due to a fractured left thumb. Manager David Bell anticipates Friedl will be sidelined for approximately four-to-five weeks, following an injury sustained from being hit by a pitch during Sunday's game against the San Francisco Giants. In response to Friedl's absence, the Reds have called up outfielder Jacob Hurtubise to fill his spot on the active roster.

🐦 Short-handed Blue Jays take down AL East rival. The Toronto Blue Jays faced adversity with several players battling illness, but managed a significant 3-2 extra-inning victory against the American League's top team, the Baltimore Orioles. Manager John Schneider praised the team's effort, emphasizing the challenging circumstances and the need for a strong mindset. Jose Berrios played a big role in Toronto’s win, allowing just three hits and two runs in 7.0 innings.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- Prior to being traded to the Los Angeles Lakers, Kobe Bryant was drafted by what Eastern Conference team with the No.13 pick in the 1996 NBA Draft?

Question #2- What National League player led the MLB in home runs during the 2006 season, hitting 58 in total?

Question #3- The Houston Rockets used to be located in what city prior to moving to Texas in 1971?

Anyone know what has happened on May 14th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On May 14th…

1977- The Montreal Canadiens defeat the Boston Bruins to win the Stanley Cup Final. Montreal took home the victory by winning 2-1 in overtime, with both goals coming from Jacques Lemaire. The win also gave Montreal a four-game sweep over Boston, as well as back-to-back titles.

1986- California Angels slugger Reggie Jackson hits his 537th home run. The milestone homer placed Jackson in sixth on the MLB’s all-time list, passing Micky Mantle in the process. Jackson would end his career with 562 home runs, the 14th-most by a player in MLB history.

1994- Former MLB player Dave Winfield records his 1,617th career RBI. Winfield surpassed Frank Robinson to move into 12th on the all-time RBI list, which was made possible by Winfield slugging two home runs and recording five RBIs against the Baltimore Orioles. He would end his career with 1,833 RBIs, which currently ranks 19th all-time.

1. Charlotte Hornets

2. Ryan Howard

3. San Diego, California