In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions & Bonuses ⬇️

Sportsbook Offers & Bonuses- Click Here

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the MLB, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 1-0 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 6-5

Over/Under Predictions: 4-7

Run Line Predictions: 5-6

Featured Matchup: 1-0

As of August 8, 2024, we have shut down our website and will begin producing all content solely on Beehiiv!

As a result, we will be implementing a tiered subscription similar to what has been done in the past.

Free subscriber- Receive newsletter, model predictions, and analysis Monday-Wednesday

Paid subscriber ($10/month or $100/year)- Receive newsletter, model predictions, and analysis 7 days of the week

Click the button below to upgrade your subscription today and be on the list to receive our newsletter every day ⬇️

15 MLB games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 15 matchups can be found below.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels

Model Predicts- Angels ML, UNDER 9, Angels +1.5

The Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Angels will continue their three-game series on Tuesday, with the first pitch for Game 2 scheduled to take place at 9:38 PM Eastern.

Toronto got the better of Los Angeles in Monday night’s matchup, picking up a much needed 4-2 victory. That win helped snap a two-game losing streak for the Blue Jays, and the loss was the third in the last four games for the Angels.

Sportsbooks make the Blue Jays a sizable favorite in tonight’s battle, but our model projects the Angels to be the team that wins tonight’s ball game. Let’s dive into why that is.

Toronto Blue Jays

• Picked up win in Game 1 of series

  • Won game 4-2. All four runs came in third inning

  • Recorded nine hits compared to only two for L.A.

• Struggling to find rhythm this month due to poor pitching staff

  • Starters- Own 4.24 ERA (15th), 5.47 FIP (25th), and 2.12 HR/9 innings (25th) since August 1st

  • Relievers- Own 4.31 ERA (15th), 4.87 FIP (22nd), 1.15 HR/9innings (19th), and 11.8% Walk rate (26th)

• Starting pitcher- Kevin Gausman

  • Due for regression- 4.42 ERA vs 5.02 xERA

  • Ranks in bottom 4% of MLB in Barrel rate (11.3%), bottom 17% in Hard Hit rate (42.8%)

Los Angeles Angels

• Have lost three of last four games

  • Two losses to Nationals, one loss to Blue Jays

  • Keeping games close- own -2 run differential in that span

• Offense has had above-average production despite recent losses

  • Own 105 wRC+, .309 BABIP, and .719 OPS since August 1st

  • Rank 5th in on base % in August (.343) due to high walk rate (10.3%) and low strikeout rate (19.6%)

• Starting pitcher- Carson Fulmer

  • Due for regression- 3.74 ERA vs 4.32 xERA

What’s the Play?

Los Angeles may be the underdog at home tonight, but we agree with our model that the Angels can win this game.

Kevin Gausman and Carson Fulmer are in similar positions entering this contest. Each pitcher owns an xERA that is nearly 0.60 runs higher than his real ERA, and both share similar flaws when it comes to being vulnerable to the barrel and hard contact, as both rank in the bottom 25% in Barrel and Hard Hit rate this season.

However, Los Angeles has been the stronger offense in August, as Toronto ranks 21st in wRC+ (96), 15th in BABIP (.304), 25th in OPS (.685) since the start of the month. That gives the Angels a sizable edge here, as the gap on the mound is negligible.

Our model believes the Angels should be roughly a -130 favorite in this spot, so we’ll gladly grab them at +130.

The Play: Angels ML (+130)

Want to back today’s best bet? You can do so on a plethora of sportsbooks! Click HERE to see which sportsbooks are available in your area and receive bonuses offers and boosted odds!

Money Line Trends 💰

• Philadelphia Phillies- 69-49 overall this season, 38-21 as the home team

• Cleveland Guardians- 70-49 overall this season, 36-20 as the home team, and 3-0 in last three games

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Boston Red Sox- Over is 61-48-8 this season, 31-25-5 following a win

• Chicago White Sox- Under is 61-54-5 this season, 32-26-2 as the home team

Run Line Trends ➕➖

• Pittsburgh Pirates- Run line is 66-52 this season, 29-14 as a road underdog

😬 Jarren Duran suspended two games after verbal exchange with fan. The Boston Red Sox suspended outfielder Jarren Duran for two games without pay for using a homophobic slur during Sunday's game. Duran apologized for his actions and expressed regret, while the Red Sox decided to donate his forfeited salary to PFLAG (Federation of Parents and Friends of Lesbians and Gays). The team's president emphasized the need for more education on hate speech and announced roster changes following Duran's suspension.

💰 Mariners sign Robles to two-year extension. The Seattle Mariners signed outfielder Victor Robles to a two-year extension worth $9.75 million, with a club option for 2027 and additional performance bonuses. Robles, who joined the Mariners in June after being released by the Nationals, has excelled in Seattle, posting his best offensive numbers since 2018 and showing strong defensive skills across all outfield positions. Mariners GM Justin Hollander praised Robles for his dynamic presence on the field and in the clubhouse, expressing excitement about keeping him with the team for at least two more years.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- On September 14, 1990, Ken Griffey Sr. and Ken Griffey Jr. became the first father-son duo to hit back-to-back home runs in a Major League Baseball game. Which team were they playing for at the time?

Question #2- Who holds the record for the highest single-season free throw percentage in NBA history, and what was their percentage?

Question #3- Who was the first, and only, defensive player to win the Heisman Trophy, and what school did he attend?

Anyone know what has happened on August 13th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On August 13th…

1979- Lou Brock, the legendary outfielder for the St. Louis Cardinals, achieved a historic milestone by recording his 3,000th career hit. The momentous hit, a single to left field, came during a game against the Chicago Cubs at Busch Stadium. Brock would end his career with 3,023 hits, which currently ranks 29th on the MLB’s all-time list.

2016- Michael Phelps swims in his last career race at the 2016 Rio Olympics, competing in the 4x100m medley relay for the United States. The race saw Phelps showcase his signature butterfly stroke during his leg of the relay, helping his team secure victory and earning his 23rd Olympic gold medal. This final race marked a triumphant end to Phelps' remarkable Olympic journey, solidifying his status as one of the greatest swimmers and athletes in history.

2017- The 2017 PGA Championship is held at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina. Justin Thomas emerged as the victor, securing his first major championship, clinching the title with a final score of 8-under-par 276, winning by two strokes. Three golfers finished in a tie for second, Francesco Molinari, Louis Oosthuizen, and Patrick Reed, all of which finished at 6-under-par 278.

1. Seattle Mariners

2. José Calderón (98.05%)

3. Charles Woodson (Michigan)