Value on Rams at Home

In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions ⬇️ 

NBA Model Predictions- End of Newsletter

NHL Model Predictions- End of Newsletter

NCAAB Model Predictions- End of Newsletter

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the NFL, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 1-0 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 9-3

Over/Under Predictions: 3-9

Spread Predictions: 9-3

Featured Matchup: 1-0

There are hundreds of sports betting websites in today’s ecosystem that charge large sums of money for their insight, with prices ranging from $29.99/month to nearly $200/month!

However, SportSense Premium allows you to receive our newsletter, model predictions, and analysis every day of the week for just $10/month, making it by far the best bang for your buck!

Becoming a more consistent winner has never been easier, and you won’t receive our prices or high-quality analysis anywhere else. Click the button below to upgrade your subscription today and be on the list to receive our newsletter every day ⬇️

One NFL game is scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for that matchup can be found below.

Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams

Model Predicts- Rams ML, UNDER 49, Rams -2.5

The Miami Dolphins will hit the road for the second-consecutive week, taking their talents to Los Angeles, California to battle the Rams on Monday Night Football.

Miami enters this matchup in the basement of the AFC East conference, posting a 2-6 record through eight games that includes going 0-3 in the last three weeks. Meanwhile, the Rams own a 4-4 record this season, and have plenty of momentum on their side following a three-game win streak.

Miami and Los Angeles are trending in opposite directions, and our model projects that to continue tonight. Let’s take a look at why that is.

Miami Dolphins

• Enter today on three-game losing streak

  • Losses to Colts, Cardinals, and Bills

  • All losses have been close games-Lost by six to Colts, one to Cardinals, and three to Bills

• Defense has been bad during losing streak, especially over the last two games

  • Surrendering 24.7 points/game over last three games. Jumps to 29.0 in last two games

  • Rank 32nd in opponent EPA/play and 30th in opponent success rate since Week 8

• Offense has improved with Tua Tagovailoa back in lineup

  • Averaging 27.0 points/game and 375.0 yards/game over last two contests

Los Angeles Rams

• Enter today on three-game win streak

  • Wins over Raiders, Vikings, and Seahawks

  • Own +21 point differential in that stretch

• Defense has stepped up in big way during win streak

  • Weeks 1-6: Ranked 31st in opponent EPA/play, 30th in opponents success rate. Held opponents to 6.2 yards/play

  • Weeks 7-9: Rank 2nd in opponent EPA/play, 4th in opponent success rate. Holding opponents to 5.1 yards/play

• Offense dominating through the air in last three games

  • Rank 2nd in dropback success rate since Week 7. Averaging 240.3 pass yards/game

What’s the Play?

Miami has been in several tight matchups and has seen improvement since Tua Tagovailoa rejoined the lineup, but we agree with our model to back the Rams on the spread as a home favorite.

Miami’s defense was shredded by Kyler Murray and Josh Allen through the air in the last two games, allowing Murray to throw for 307 yards and Allen to record 231. That resulted in the Dolphins ranking 31st in opponent EPA/dropback and 30th in opponent dropback success rate in that span, giving Matthew Stafford a great opportunity to continue lighting up opposing defenses through the air.

Additionally, the Rams’ improvement on the defensive side of the ball during their win streak has been significant, putting a Dolphins offense that could be without Tyreek Hill in a difficult spot.

Our model makes the spread for this game roughly 3.5 points in favor of Los Angeles. As a result, we’ll back the Rams on the spread.

The Play: Rams -2.5 (-115)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Los Angeles Rams- 4-4 overall this season, 3-1 as the home team, and 3-0 in last three games

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Miami Dolphins- Under is 5-3 this season, 3-1 as the away team

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Los Angeles Rams- 3-5 against the spread (ATS) this season, 2-2 ATS as the home team, 2-1 ATS in last three games

💪 Drake Maye and Patriots take down Caleb Williams and Bears in rookie showdown. Drake Maye outperformed Caleb Williams as the New England Patriots defeated the Chicago Bears 19-3, with Maye leading five scoring drives and the Patriots’ defense sacking Williams nine times. The Bears’ offense struggled, managing just 142 yards and one successful third down, leading frustrated fans to chant for head coach Matt Eberflus' firing. With this loss, Chicago’s eight-game win streak at Soldier Field ended, while the Patriots capitalized on defensive pressure and efficient scoring to secure the victory.

5️⃣ Joe Flacco’s turnovers propel Bills to fifth-straight win. Taron Johnson’s pick-6 on Joe Flacco’s first pass helped the Buffalo Bills defeat the Indianapolis Colts 30-20, with Josh Allen and James Cook adding rushing touchdowns to secure the victory. Buffalo extended its winning streak to five games as Allen threw for 280 yards despite two interceptions, while Cook ran for 80 yards on 19 carries. Flacco struggled with four turnovers, and although the Colts briefly rallied, the Bills regained control to seal the win, overcoming several key injuries.

Today’s Top Sportsbook/DFS Offers🎰

Sportsbooks and Daily Fantasy sites are providing new users with a plethora of offers and bonuses when they sign up, and our staff has provided it’s top three for November 11, 2024!

To claim an offer, click the “Open Account” button on the corresponding banner, complete the sign up process, make a deposit, and start betting!

HardRock- Bet $5 and get $100 in bonus bets!

Sporttrade- Get up to $300 in cash back in your first week after sign up!

Rebet- Receive a 100% deposit match on your first deposit (up to $100)!

To see all sportsbooks and offers available in your area, click HERE

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- John Calipari coached what current Atlantic 10 Conference basketball team from 1988-1996?

Question #2- Only one player averaged more than 28.0 points per game during the 2014-15 NBA season. Who was that player?

Question #3- What NFL running back won the NFL MVP award for the 2012 NFL season?

Anyone know what has happened on November 11th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On November 11th…

1944- The New York Ranger beat the Detroit Red Wings by a score of 5-2. The victory snapped an NHL record 25-game losing streak for New York, one that saw the Rangers post a 0-21-4 record. New York ended the season with an 11-29-10 record and just 32 points, causing the Rangers to finish in last place.

2000- The 12th College Football Holy War takes place between Boston College and Notre Dame in South Bend, Indiana. The Fighting Irish won the game by a score of 28-16, pushing Notre Dame’s record to 7-2 while Boston College fell to 6-4. The last time the Holy War took place was in 2022, a 44-0 win for Notre Dame, and it will be played next season in Chestnut Hill.

2020- Cleveland Indians pitcher Shane Bieber wins the American League Cy Young award. The honor came after a dominant season on the mound by Bieber in a shortened season, one that saw the right-hander post an 8-1 record and 1.63 ERA across 77.1 innings. He hasn’t won another Cy Young award since 2020, but finished seventh in 2022.

1. University of Massachusetts

2. Russell Westbrook

3. Adrian Peterson

NBA Model Predictions🏀

NHL Model Predictions🏒

NCAAB Model Predictions🏀