In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions & Bonuses ⬇️

Sportsbook Offers & Bonuses- Click Here

There were no model predictions yesterday, June 2, 2024.

Eight MLB games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all eight matchups can be found below.

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels

Model Predicts- Padres ML, OVER 8.5, Angels +1.5

The San Diego Padres will continue their six-game road trip on Monday, returning to the state of California to battle the Los Angeles Angels.

San Diego saw its road trip get off to a hot start over the weekend, picking up two wins in three games against the Kansas City Royals. The Padres now own a 32-30 record for the season, good enough for second place in the NL West, while Los Angeles sits in fifth in the AL West at 21-38 following five consecutive losses.

San Diego and L.A. are trending in opposite directions for the moment, and our model projects that will continue to be the case today as it expects the Padres to pick up the win. Let’s take a look at why that is.

San Diego Padres

• Won weekend series vs Kansas City

  • Won Game 1 11-8 and Game 2 7-3 before dropping Game 3

  • +6 run differential in that span

• Have now won five of last seven contests

  • One win over Yankees, two over Marlins, and two over Royals

  • Bats are hot in that span- Rank 2nd in wRC+ (130), 3rd in OPS (.779), and 3rd in BABIP (.338), per FanGraphs

  • Making loads of contact as well- Own 13.6% strikeout rate in last seven games

• Starting pitcher- Matt Waldron

  • Due for positive regression- Owns 4.26 ERA vs 3.53 xERA

  • Ranks in top 10% in Hard Hit rate (31.1%). Allowing two earned runs or less in four consecutive starts

Los Angeles Angels

• Enter tonight on five-game losing streak

  • Two losses to Yankees, two losses to Mariners

  • -20 run differential in that span

• Have been one of worst offenses in MLB over last 10 games

  • Rank 30th in wRC+ (68), 30th in BABIP (.241), 28th in OPS (.594), 26th in strikeout rate (25.2%)

  • Averaging 2.6 runs per game and hitting .203 as a team

• Starting pitcher- Tyler Anderson

  • Due to see regression- 2.47 ERA vs 4.62 xERA

  • Sized up by opposing teams often- Ranks in bottom 20% of MLB in Barrel rate (9.9%) and Ground Ball rate (35.6%)

What’s the Play?

Many sportsbooks have the Padres listed as a -140 favorite for tonight’s game, while our model believes that price should be closer to -160. As a result, we are going to back San Diego on the money line here.

San Diego has been dominant at the plate recently, and the Padres’ success against left-handed pitching puts a guy with unfavorable splits like Tyler Anderson in a tough position. Per FanGraphs, San Diego owns a 123 wRC+ and .324 BABIP against left-handed pitchers over the last seven games, proving that this is a group that can force Anderson’s pending regression to come into play.

Meanwhile, Matt Waldron owns a 1.96 ERA over his last 23.0 innings, and many metrics show that he should continue that dominance on the mound, especially against an Angels hitting attack that has been amongst the MLB’s worst over the last two weeks. Take San Diego tonight.

The Play: Padres ML (-140)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Baltimore Orioles- 37-20 overall this season, 16-8 as the away team, and 8-2 in the last 10 games

• San Diego Padres- 32-30 overall this season 19-11 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• New York Mets- Over is 31-27-1 this season, 17-7-1 as the away team

• San Diego Padres- Over is 32-29-1 this season, 15-14 as the away team

• Los Angeles Angels- Over is 17-11 as the home team this season

Run Line Trends ➕➖

• Colorado Rockies- Run line is 31-27 this season, 15-10 as a home underdog

⬇️ Tigers option Spencer Torkelson to Triple-A. The Detroit Tigers are sending first baseman Spencer Torkelson to Triple-A due to his struggles at the plate, with third baseman Justyn-Henry Malloy being promoted in his place. Torkelson, who hit .201 with four home runs and 18 RBIs this season, has not replicated his strong 2023 performance, which included 31 home runs and 94 RBIs. Meanwhile, Malloy has excelled in Triple-A, posting an .883 OPS with six home runs and 27 RBIs.

🤕 Snell leaves game vs Yankees with groin tightness. San Francisco Giants left-hander Blake Snell exited Sunday's game against the New York Yankees in the fifth inning due to groin tightness, and will undergo an MRI on Monday. Snell was replaced mid-at-bat with the bases loaded, leading to a two-run double by Alex Verdugo off reliever Erik Miller. Snell, who has struggled this season with an 0-3 record and 8.75 ERA, expressed frustration over the injury and emphasized the importance of spring training for players' early-season performance.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- Former MLB player Rafael Palmeiro, who played 20 seasons in the MLB, holds the record for most games played without a World Series appearance. How many games did Palmeiro play in his career?

Question #2- The New York Yankees won back-to-back World Series in 1977 and 1978. Who was the shortstop for the Yankees in those two seasons?

Question #3- For nearly 100 years, Bobby Jones held the title as the youngest person to win the U.S. Open, that is until Jordan Spieth won the event in 2015 by shooting 5-under par. How old was Spieth when he won the U.S. Open?

Anyone know what has happened on June 3rd throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On June 3rd…

1943- Hall of Fame quarterback Joe Namath is born in Beaver Falls, Pennsylvania. Namath would go on to play collegiate football at the University of Alabama before being selected 1st overall in the 1965 AFL Draft by the New York Jets. He would lead that Jets team to a 16-7 Super Bowl victory over the Baltimore Colts in 1969, the third NFL Championship game in league history and the first to be officially called the “Super Bowl”. That win remains the Jets’ only Super Bowl victory to this day.

1983- The Philadelphia 76ers defeat the Los Angeles Lakers in four games in the 37th NBA Championship. Julius Erving and Moses Malone led Philadelphia to the No.1 overall seed in the Eastern Conference that season, ending the regular season with a tremendous 65-17 record. Malone was crowned the MVP of the Finals, averaging a much needed 23.3 points per game in order to take down Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Magic Johnson.

2008- Jamaican track and field star Usain Bolt sets the World Record in the 100 meter dash, running a time of 9.72 seconds at the Reebok Grand Prix in New York. Bolt would just narrowly beat the previous world record of 9.74 seconds, which was held by fellow Jamaican sprinter Asafa Powell. However, Bolt’s record would only stand for one year, with Bolt going on to run 9.58 at the IAAF World Championships in 2009 to beat his previous best.

1. 2,831

2. Bucky Dent

3. 21