In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter presented by SportSense Premium…

Additional Model Predictions ⬇️

NBA Model Predictions- Click Here

NHL Model Predictions- Click Here

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the NHL, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 1-0 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 4-0

Over/Under Predictions: 3-1

Puck Line Predictions: 2-2

Featured Matchup: 1-0

Become a SportSense Premium Subscriber!

Want to have more data and projections at your fingertips before placing your bets? Then SportSense Premium is for you, and it costs just $0.50 per day!

Player Projections- Our player prop models provide stat projections for the NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB players, and are updated every morning!

Model Track- Every money line, over/under, spread, and best bet prediction made by our model’s is tracked and updated daily, providing a visual into which bets are hot and which are not!

Power Rankings- Our power rankings models use past and expected stats to rank each team in the NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB, and are updated every Monday!

Premium subscribers have the tools to become smarter sports bettors and win more consistently. Click the button below to join today!

11 MLB games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 11 matchups can be found below.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Model Predicts- Brewers ML, OVER 8, Brewers +1.5

The Milwaukee Brewers will continue their seven-game road trip on Monday evening, with the next stop coming in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania to begin a four-game series with the Pirates.

Milwaukee enters tonight’s matchup fresh of a three-game series sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals, giving the Brewers a 14-6 record and the No.1 spot in the NL Central. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh sits at fourth in the NL Central standings with an 11-11 record following six consecutive losses at the hands of the New York Mets and Boston Red Sox.

The Brewers and Pirates are trending in opposite directions, and our model projects that to continue today despite Milwaukee being a road underdog. Let’s dive into why that is.

Milwaukee Brewers

• Enter this series on four-game win streak

  • One win against Padres, three wins against Cardinals

  • Outscoring opponents 17-6 in that span despite never being better than a -120 favorite

• Offense has become one of best groups in MLB

  • Rank third in wRC+ (120), second in BABIP (.332), per FanGraphs

  • Tons of power in lineup- 27 home runs this season (fourth in MLB), rank second in OPS (.788)

• Starting pitcher- Joe Ross

  • Lit up in last outing- allowed nine hits and seven runs in 4.2 innings

  • Ranks in bottom 34% of MLB in strikeout and walk rate, but owns 2.1% Barrel rate and 3.23 xERA compared to 4.91 ERA

Pittsburgh Pirates

• Enter this series on six-game losing streak

  • Three losses to Mets, three losses to Red Sox

  • -27 run differential in that span

• Bats have gone cold during losing streak

  • Rank 29th in wRC+ (39) in last six games, while posting a 26.3% strikeout rate

  • Have been held to three runs or less in all six games, scoring just one run in four of those matchups

• Starting pitcher- Jared Jones

  • 22-year-old that has been fantastic

    • 3.13 ERA vs 2.72 xERA. 36.4% strikeout rate and 2.3% walk rate

  • Has struggled with keeping ball on ground and eliminating hard contact- 37.7% ground ball rate is in bottom 30% of MLB. Simultaneously ranks in bottom 11% in Barrel rate (13.2%) and Hard Hit rate (49.1%)

What’s the Play?

Jared Jones has been fantastic on the mound, especially when you consider the fact the he is a 22-year-old rookie. However, we agree with our model that Milwaukee is a solid play here as an underdog.

Jones’ ability to strikeout out opposing hitters is remarkable, but his inability to keep many baseballs on the ground will likely pose challenges against this Brewers team. As previously mentioned, the Brewers are one of the best power-hitting teams in the majors early on, and they have crushed right-handed pitchers, posting a 126 wRC+, .339 BABIP, and .809 OPS (FanGraphs).

The sample size with Jones is still small, which means he still has a wider range of outcomes on the mound at this point in his career. That certainly works in Milwaukee’s favor today.

Additionally, Joe Ross has proven to be a serviceable option on the mound, and the 1.68-run gap between his ERA and xERA this season shows he is due to see improvement on the mound, which can certainly happen to day against a weak and struggling Pirates offense.

On paper Pittsburgh has the advantage on the mound, but the gap at the plate may be too much for the Pirates to overcome. We’ll take the Brewers here.

The Play: Brewers ML (+115)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Milwaukee Brewers- 14-6 overall this season, 4-0 in last four games and 10-2 as the away team

• Detroit Tigers- 12-10 overall this season, 8-3 as the away team

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Chicago White Sox- Under is 12-8-1 this season

• Baltimore Orioles- Over is 13-6-2 this season, 5-3-1 as the away team

Run Line Trends ➕➖

• Milwaukee Brewers- Run line is 12-8 this season, 10-4 as an underdog

🇯🇵 Ohtani sets home run record for Japanese-born player. Shohei Ohtani set a new record for homers by a Japanese-born player in Major League Baseball, surpassing Hideki Matsui, with a massive two-run shot in the third inning as the Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the New York Mets 10-0. Ohtani's 423-foot blast off Adrian Houser was his fifth homer of the season and the 176th of his career. He expressed relief at achieving the milestone and acknowledged Matsui's impact on his career, jokingly aiming to surpass Dodgers manager Dave Roberts' record for Japanese-born players in a Dodgers uniform.

🤕 Angels place Rendon on IL with hamstring injury. The Los Angeles Angels placed third baseman Anthony Rendon on the 10-day injured list due to a left hamstring strain, following his early exit from Saturday's game against the Cincinnati Reds after sustaining the injury on an infield single in the first inning. Rendon expressed frustration and anger, describing his hamstring as "not too great." Since signing a lucrative contract with the Angels in 2020, Rendon has faced criticism for his performance, hitting only 22 home runs in five years and dealing with multiple significant injuries, limiting him to 219 games.

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- Who led the NHL points during the 2023-24 regular season, recording 144 in total?

Question #2- Two University of Alabama football players were selected inside the top-seven of the 2012 NFL Draft. One was Safety Mark Barron, and the other was what Running Back selected by the Cleveland Browns?

Question #3- Prior to his time with the Tennessee Titans, Ryan Tannehill played for what team from 2012-18?

Anyone know what has happened on April 22nd throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On April 22nd…

1980- Former NFL running back Marshawn Lynch is born in Oakland, California. Lynch was a star at Oakland Technical High School before attending the University of California, Berkeley for his collegiate career, where he became the school’s second all-time leading rusher. He would go on to be selected in the first round of the 2007 NFL Draft by the Buffalo Bills, and also played for the Seattle Seahawks and Oakland Raiders in his career.

1995- Penn State running back Ki-Jana Carter is selected with the No.1 overall pick in the NFL Draft. Carter was selected by the Cincinnati Bengals, a result of being named an All-American and the Rose Bowl MVP in his final collegiate season. Carter would play for Cincinnati until 1999, and was also a member of the Redskins, Packers, and Saints.

2003- Patrick Roy plays his final NHL game. Roy’s last career game was a Game 7 playoff matchup against the Minnesota Wild, one that saw Roy and the Colorado Avalanche lose in overtime. Roy played in the NHL for 19 season, suiting up for the New York Islanders in addition to the Avalanche.

1. Nikita Kucherov

2. Trent Richardson

3. Miami Dolphins