Will Flyers End Losing Streak vs Blue Jackets?

In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter…

Additional Model Predictions ⬇️ 

NBA Model Predictions- Click Here

NCAAB Model Predictions- Click Here

2024 CFP Bracket- Click Here

There were plenty of model predictions to go around yesterday across the NFL, with our model focusing in on one of those predictions in our Featured Matchup. That prediction went 0-1 overall, and you can see how the rest of the model performed below.

Money Line Predictions: 1-0

Over/Under Predictions: 0-1

Spread Predictions: 0-1

Featured Matchup: 0-1

Become a More Consistent Winner with SportSense Premium

SportSense Entertainment’s Premium subscription provides its users with betting insights and projections that can’t be found anywhere else, helping those users become more profitable sports bettors.

What do Premium subscribers receive?

🎯 Game Projections- Gain access to our MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAF, and NCCAB model’s money line, over/under, and spread predictions seven days/week. Free subscribers receive these predictions Monday-Wednesday

🏈 Postseason Bracket Projections- Know how tournaments will play out before they begin with our bracket projections for the MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA postseason, as well as the College Football Playoff and March Madness.

📈 Model Track (Coming December 19, 2024)- Don’t bet blindly. We track every prediction our models make, and post daily reports on our website to show what bets are hot, and what bets are not.

💰 Player Prop Projections (Coming in 2025)- Become a winning prop bettor with our player prop projections for all pro sports.

Don’t wait until prices rise to join Premium. Click the button below for more information and join Premium now to lock in your price of $10/month or $100/year⬇️

11 NHL games are scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for all 11 matchups can be found below.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Columbus Blue Jackets

Model Predicts- Flyers ML, OVER 6.5, Flyers +1.5

The Philadelphia Flyers will hit the road for just one game on Tuesday, traveling to Columbus, Ohio to battle a Metropolitan Division rival in the Columbus Blue Jackets.

Philadelphia enters this divisional battle in the midst of a sizable losing streak, one that has seen the Flyers drop three-consecutive games. Those losses bring Philadelphia’s record to 12-12-4 for the season, and Columbus owns a similar record at 12-12-3 following a win over the Winnipeg Jets on Sunday.

Only one point separates the Flyers and Blue Jackets in the Metropolitan Division standings, but our model projects the Flyers to win tonight’s game. Let’s dive into why that is.

Philadelphia Flyers

• Enter today on three-game losing streak

  • Losses to Panthers, Bruins, and Hockey Club

  • Own -5 goal differential in that span

• Have surrendered goals in bunches during losing streak, but defense is strong in 5-on-5 situations

  • Allowed seven goals to Panthers, four to Bruins and Hockey Club

  • Playing well in 5-on-5 situations: Allowing just 2.21 goals per 60 minutes (GA/60) in 5-on-5 across last three games

• Expected goalie- Samuel Ersson

  • Owns .894 Save % in 5-on-5 situations. Ranks 58th in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with -2.8

Columbus Blue Jackets

• Won most recent game, but struggling overall in December

  • Beat Jets 4-1 on Sunday. Three of four goals came in third period

  • However, have lost three of last four games. Own -6 goal differential in that span

• December stats show team is due to see significant regression on both ends of ice

  • Offense since December 1st- GF/60 in 5-on-5 is 2.51, but xGF/60 in 2.13

  • Defense since December 1st- GA/60 in 5-on-5 is 1.76, but xGA/60 is 2.61

• Expected goalie- Elvis Merzlikins

  • Owns .914 Save % in 5-on-5. Ranks 61st in GSAx (-3.2)

What’s the Play?

Philadelphia hasn’t played good hockey in the month of December, but we agree with our model to back the Flyers to be outright winners tonight.

Columbus has been significantly outperforming expectations on both ends of the ice since December 1st, hinting that regression is near. As previously mentioned, the Blue Jackets own an xGA/60 that is nearly a full goal higher than their GA/60 in 5-on-5 situations this month, which is largely due to allowing 11.79 High-Danger Scoring Chances per 60 minutes (HDCA/60) in 5-on-5 situations. That gives Philadelphia a great chance to get pucks on net, which oftentimes leads to goals against Merzlikins.

Additionally, Philadelphia’s defense has been excellent in 5-on-5 situations, posting a 1.81 xGA/60 in 5-on-5 in December, the third-best mark in the NHL this month. On the surface it looks like the Flyers have been easy to crack, but we expect a Blue Jackets offense due for regression to struggle tonight.

Our model projects the Flyers to be a -134 favorite in this matchup, giving us a sizable edge at their current money line odds of -110.

The Play: Flyers ML (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Colorado Avalanche- 16-13-0 overall this season, 9-6-0 as the away team

• Philadelphia Flyers- 12-12-4 overall this season, 6-4-3 as the away team

• Tampa Bay Lightning- 14-9-2 overall this season, 2-0 in last two games

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Columbus Blue Jackets- Over is 18-8-1 this season with average total of 7.00

• Nashville Predators- Under is 20-8-0 this season with average total of 5.32

Puck Line Trends ➕➖

• Carolina Hurricanes- Puck line is 15-12 this season

• Utah Hockey Club- Puck line is 17-10 this season

🔄 Avalanche trade goalie Georgiev to Sharks. The Colorado Avalanche traded goaltender Alexandar Georgiev to the San Jose Sharks, along with forward Nikolai Kovalenko, a 2026 second-round pick, and a conditional 2025 fifth-round pick, in exchange for netminder Mackenzie Blackwood, forward Givani Smith, and a 2027 fifth-round pick. Georgiev, whose performance has declined this season, is in the final year of his contract, while Blackwood, with a stronger save percentage, offers Colorado an upgrade in net and is also set to become a free agent. The Avalanche also added Scott Wedgewood recently, overhauled their goaltending tandem, and gained $1.47 million in cap flexibility with this trade.

📉 Rangers’ struggles continue in loss to Blackhawks. The New York Rangers hit a new low with a 2-1 loss to the Chicago Blackhawks, prompting head coach Peter Laviolette to criticize their lack of execution as "unacceptable." The team has won only two of their last ten games amid trade rumors involving key players, including Jacob Trouba, who was recently dealt to the Anaheim Ducks. Struggling offensively, the Rangers managed just 37.2% of expected goals at five-on-five and were booed off the ice after losing 12-2 in high-danger scoring chances during the final two periods.

Today’s Top Sportsbook/DFS Offers🎰

Sportsbooks and Daily Fantasy sites are providing new users with a plethora of offers and bonuses when they sign up, and our staff has provided it’s top three for December 10, 2024!

To claim an offer, click the “Open Account” button on the corresponding banner, complete the sign up process, make a deposit, and start betting!

DraftKings- Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets!

FanDuel- Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets!

Underdog Fantasy- Receive a free pick plus a first deposit offer up to $1,000!

To see all sportsbooks and offers available in your area, click HERE

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- Who had the largest contract in MLB history before Shohei Ohtani signed a $700 million with the Dodgers?

Question #2- How many players were selected out of Kentucky in the 2020 NBA Draft?

Question #3- Gerrit Cole was selected by what team in the 2011 MLB Draft?

Anyone know what has happened on December 10th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On December 10th…

1940- The Chicago Bears select John Harmon with the first overall pick in the NFL Draft. Harmon was widely considered the best prospect in the 1940 draft, as he was a consensus All-American and Heisman Trophy winner at the University of Michigan in 1940. However, Harmon never played a game for Chicago, instead opting for a career in acting and radio.

1995- The Toronto Raptors defeat the Vancouver Grizzlies 93-81. This was the first time Toronto and Vancouver ever played one another, as both entered the league as expansion franchises in 1995. However, wins would be a rarity for Toronto moving forward, ending the year with a 21-61 record, while Vancouver was even worse at 15-67.

2016- Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson wins the 82nd Heisman Trophy. The honor came after Jackson tallied 4,928 total yards of offense in the 2016 season, the second-most by a Heisman winner ever. Jackson was also just 19 years old at the time he won the award, making him the youngest Heisman Trophy winner.

1. Mike Trout

2. Three

3. Pittsburgh Pirates