In today’s SportSense Entertainment Newsletter presented by Betstamp…

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There were no model predictions yesterday, May 27, 2024.

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One NBA game is scheduled to take place today. Our model’s predictions for that matchup can be found below.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Dallas Mavericks

Model Predicts- Mavericks ML, OVER 210.5, Timberwolves +2

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks will continue their best-of-seven series on Tuesday night, squaring off in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals.

Minnesota enters tonight’s matchup in quite a deep hole, losing each of the first three games in this series, and now finds itself in danger of being swept. Those losses now put the Timberwolves’ postseason record at 8-6, while the Mavericks have won 11 of their 15 postseason contests.

Dallas has clearly had the upper hand in this series, but our model expects Minnesota to remain competitive with its season on the line. Let’s dive into why that is.

Minnesota Timberwolves

• Enter tonight’s game down 3-0 in series

  • Lost Game 1 108-105, Game 2 109-108, and Game 3 116-107

  • Own -4.2 Net Rating in series

• Defensive production has been low in this series compared to rest of postseason

  • Vs Suns and Nuggets- 107.6 Defensive Rating. Opponents shot 45.7% overall and 35.7% from three

  • Vs Mavericks- 118.5 Defensive Rating. Opponents shooting 51.0% overall and 38.1% from three

• Injuries- No players on injury report

Dallas Mavericks

• Increased offensive production in series has been key

  • First two rounds of playoffs- 113.9 Offensive Rating while shooting 45.9% overall

  • WCF- 118.5 Offensive Rating while shooting 51.0% overall

• Halftime adjustments have also played massive role in series

  • First half of games in WCF- own -5.8 Net Rating and -7 point differential

  • Second half of games in WCF- +14.5 Net Rating and +20 point differential

• Injuries- Luka Doncic and Maxi Kleber are questionable. Dereck Lively, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, and Greg Brown are OUT

What’s the Play?

Dallas has seen a much-needed spike in production on the offensive end in this series, which comes as a bit of a surprise given Minnesota’s stellar defensive numbers this season. However, we agree with our model that the Timberwolves have enough left in the tank to keep this game close.

Some metrics in this series make it appear that the Timberwolves don’t matchup well with the Mavericks, but that is far from the case. Minnesota may own a -4.2 Net Rating in this series, but in four regular season games against Dallas that Rating was a stellar +13.3. We’d expect that to see that level of production show up at some point, and tonight’s game presents a solid opportunity as Dereck Lively, who owns a +14.7 Net Rating in this series, will be sidelined for the Mavericks.

Not much about this series has been pretty for Minnesota, but we think the Timberwolves can find enough magic with its back against the wall to cover the spread here.

The Play: Timberwolves +2 (-110)

Money Line Trends 💰

• Dallas Mavericks- 11-4 overall in postseason, 3-0 in series against Timberwolves

Over/Under Trends ⬆️⬇️

• Minnesota Timberwolves- Over is 50-45-1 this season, 9-5 overall in postseason

Spread Trends ➕➖

• Minnesota Timberwolves- 48-46-2 against the spread (ATS) this season, 27-21 ATS as the away team, and 8-6 ATS in postseason

☘️ Celtics sweep Pacers to advance to NBA Finals. The Boston Celtics came from behind to secure a 105-102 victory over the Indiana Pacers, completing a sweep in the Eastern Conference finals. Boston will face the winner of the Dallas Mavericks-Minnesota Timberwolves series in the NBA Finals, with Dallas currently leading 3-0. Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with 29 and 26 points respectively, while Derrick White made a crucial 3-pointer in the final minute and was praised by Brown, who received the East finals MVP award.

🙏 Bill Walton passes away at 71 years old. Hall of Famer and two-time NBA champion Bill Walton passed away at 71 after a long battle with cancer. Walton, who led UCLA to consecutive undefeated seasons and national championships in the 1970s, was later drafted first overall by the Portland Trail Blazers, where he won an MVP and led them to their only championship. After his playing career, which included a key role in the Boston Celtics' 1986 championship, Walton became a successful broadcaster, earning an Emmy Award in 2001 for "Best Live Sports Television Broadcast."

Today’s trivia requires you to dig into multiple pockets of your brain, testing your knowledge of recent events as well as those that happened decades ago.

See how many of the below questions you can get correct. Answers are provided at the end of the newsletter.

Question #1- Former NFL quarterback Ben Roethlisberger played collegiate football at what university?

Question #2- Two point guards were selected within the top-four picks of the 2008 NBA Draft, one from the University of Memphis and one from UCLA. Who were those players?

Question #3- Who led the NHL in points for the 2018-19 season, recording 128 in total?

Anyone know what has happened on May 28th throughout history? We didn’t have a clue either, but it appears that it has been a busy day.

On May 28th…

1968- The MLB grants the city of San Diego, California an MLB franchise. The team would be known as the San Diego Padres, with Preston Gomez being named manager and Ollie Brown being selected as the first Padres player in the expansion draft. San Diego would post a 52-110 record in its first season in 1969.

1986- Former American football player Michael Oher is born in Memphis, Tennessee. Oher was known for his solid play throughout his NFL career, and became a more popular figure after his childhood was depicted in the movie “The Blind Side”. Oher would play in the NFL from 2009-16, suiting up for the Baltimore Ravens, Tennessee Titans, and Carolina Panthers in that time.

2006- Former MLB slugger Barry Bonds hits a home run in a 6-3 loss to the Colorado Rockies. The homer was the 715th of Bonds’ career, enabling him to pass Hall of Famer Babe Ruth on the MLB’s all-time list. Bonds would end his career with 762 home runs, the most by any player in MLB history.

1. Miami University (Ohio)

2. Derrick Rose, Russell Westbrook

3. Nikita Kucherov